1 November 2026, 15:00 UTC

Radnicki 1923 vs Novi Pazar Super Liga prediction & result

Kragujevac
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Radnicki 1923 2-0 Novi Pazar.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Radnicki 1923, 28% draw, 27% Novi Pazar — fair odds of 2.22, 3.57 and 3.70.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Radnicki 1923 at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Radnicki 192399%Draw1%Novi Pazar0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

6'
Tomislav Dadic
Uros·Sremcevic
36'
Mohamed Cisse
38'
45'
🔁Adem Ljajićout: Fejsal Mulic
Bojica Nikčević
53'
🔁Miloš Ristićout: Jovan Ilic
54'
🔁Semir Alicout: Jovan Živković
54'
⚽Uros·Sremcevicassist: Mohamed Cisse
70'
73'
🔁Skima Togbeout: Dimitrije Janković
77'
Dimitrije Janković
78'
🔁Papa Amady Gadioout: Matija Malekinusic
🔁David Buchtaout: Mićo Kuzmanović
79'
🔁Mohamed Cisseout: V. Tomić
79'
⚽Uros·Sremcevic (pen)
82'
83'
🔁Dominic Sadiout: Jonny Torres
⚽Uros·Sremcevicassist: Bojica Nikčević
86'
🔁Bojica Nikčevićout: Asmir Suljić
88'

Match stats — Radnicki 1923 vs Novi Pazar

49%Possession51%
18Shots16
4On target4
12Corners4
1.67xG1.19

Goals against chances

Radnicki 19232 from 1.67 xGabout what the chances were worth
Novi Pazar0 from 1.19 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Radnicki 1923 4-1-4-1
  • 1M. ŠahinovićG
  • 7B. NikčevićD
  • 14S. SimovićD
  • 5Nikola MarjanovićD
  • 11I. BabićD
  • 27M. RistićM
  • 10M. CisséM
  • 35N. GlavčićM
  • 28S. AlićM
  • 19D. BuchtaM
  • 9U. SremčevićF
Substitutes
  • 6H. HiloD
  • 80J. IlićM
  • 8M. KuzmanovićD
  • 26A. MarušićF
  • 4N. MiličićD
  • 29António Pina GomesF
  • 99A. SuljićF
  • 16Vanja TomićM
  • 25T. UdeD
Coach: Fedja Dudic
Novi Pazar 4-2-3-1
  • 1Bogdan MatijaševićG
  • 14N. StankovicD
  • 4Allan De LeónD
  • 23J. MarinkovićD
  • 50T. DadićD
  • 8Skima TogbeM
  • 24I. DavidovićM
  • 10D. SadiM
  • 6P. GadioM
  • 20K. DixonM
  • 22A. LjajićF
Substitutes
  • 7JonnyF
  • 11Nikola SkrobonjaM
  • 12M. PrekovićG
  • 21M. PetrovićM
  • 99F. MulićF
  • 3V. MirosavićD
  • 5S. MelentijevićD
  • 17M. MalekinušićF
  • 18H. KadrićF
Coach: N. Lalatović

Form going into Radnicki 1923 vs Novi Pazar

Radnicki 1923

Super Liga

  • L1-2Železničar Pančevo28 October 2026
  • W1-0Radnik Surdulica23 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Vojvodina17 October 2026

Novi Pazar

Super Liga

  • W2-0away to Radnicki NIS23 October 2026
  • L1-2IMT Novi Beograd18 October 2026
  • L0-1away to FK Partizan11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serbia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Radnicki 1923157262219+323
8Novi Pazar155461516-119

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Radnicki 1923 vs Novi Pazar

  • 18 July 2026Novi Pazar 1–0 Radnicki 1923Super Liga
  • 23 November 2025Radnicki 1923 0–0 Novi PazarSuper Liga
  • 24 September 2025Novi Pazar 1–1 Radnicki 1923Super Liga
  • 10 May 2025Radnicki 1923 2–3 Novi PazarSuper Liga
  • 27 February 2025Radnicki 1923 2–0 Novi PazarSuper Liga
  • 4 December 2024Novi Pazar 2–0 Radnicki 1923Cup

Leading scorers: Radnicki 1923 and Novi Pazar

Radnicki 1923

GoalsAssists

  • U. Sremčević61
  • M. Cissé42

Novi Pazar

GoalsAssists

  • K. Dixon52

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Radnicki 1923 beat Novi Pazar 2–0. The model had made a win for Radnicki 1923 its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Uros·Sremcevic 70' for Radnicki 1923, Uros·Sremcevic 86' for Radnicki 1923. On expected goals it finished 1.67–1.19.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Radnicki 1923 a 69.1% chance to finish in the top six: 79.0% after a win, 65.7% after a draw, 56.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 79.0%, 9.9 points higher than before the match.

For Novi Pazar the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 25.7% going in: 36.9% after a win, 24.0% after a draw, 18.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 18.5%, 7.2 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Radnicki 1923 v Novi Pazar has moved

First published on 18 Oct at 47% / 28% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 45% / 28% / 27%: the biggest move is Radnicki 1923's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. Radnicki 1923 win45%▼ −2
  2. Draw28%=
  3. Novi Pazar win27%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.