2 November 2026, 18:30 UTC

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa Ligat Ha'al prediction & result

Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-1 Maccabi Haifa.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% Hapoel Tel Aviv, 25% draw, 28% Maccabi Haifa — fair odds of 2.13, 4.00 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Hapoel Tel Aviv at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

douglas owusu
4'
⚽Tsunami (OG)
9'
26'
Jelle Bataille
31'
Barak Bakhar
⚽Daniel Dappaassist: Roee alkokin
45'
45'
🔁Jelle Batailleout: Kenny Saief
45'
🔁Iyad khalailiout: Kenji Gorre
58'
⚽Bruninhoassist: Eli Dasa
60'
Andrija Novakovich
60'
Ethane Azoulay
Marcus Coco
60'
Andrian Kraev
60'
🔁douglas owusuout: Amit lemkin
61'
🔁Andrian Kraevout: yam el kancepolsky
61'
70'
🔁Ali Mohamedout: Yarin Levi
🔁Omri Altmanout: Roy Korine
74'
80'
🔁Ethane Azoulayout: Yair mordechai
🔁Daniel Dappaout: Doron Leidner
87'
87'
🔁Bruninhoout: Adam Grimberg

Match stats — Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa

45%Possession55%
10Shots9
3On target3
3Corners5
1.49xG1.32

Goals against chances

Hapoel Tel Aviv2 from 1.49 xGmore than the chances were worth
Maccabi Haifa1 from 1.32 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Hapoel Tel Aviv 4-2-3-1
  • 22A. TzurG
  • 97M. CocoD
  • 5F. MayemboD
  • 4ChicoD
  • 32Y. LeliendalD
  • 98FalcãoM
  • 6A. KraevM
  • 35D. OwusuM
  • 15R. AlkokinM
  • 51O. AltmanM
  • 44D. DappaF
Substitutes
  • 27M. BuskilaF
  • 1Dor BenyaminiG
  • 18T. ArchelD
  • 8Y. FerberM
  • 14E. KancepolskyM
  • 7R. KorineF
  • 16D. LeidnerD
  • 23A. LemkinM
  • 21S. PivenD
Coach: E. Barda
Maccabi Haifa 4-2-3-1
  • 55O. GlazerG
  • 2E. DasaD
  • 21N. LonwijkD
  • 66TsunamiD
  • 25J. BatailleD
  • 19E. AzoulayM
  • 4A. MuhammadM
  • 30Pedro BrazãoM
  • 10BruninhoM
  • 29Iyad KhalailiM
  • 9A. NovakovićF
Substitutes
  • 11K. GorréF
  • 38Adam GrimbergF
  • 26S. KaniM
  • 8Y. LeviM
  • 7Y. MordechaiM
  • 1yaacov omer on nirG
  • 36N. RatnerD
  • 16K. SaiefD
  • 44PedrãoD
Coach: B. Bakhar

Form going into Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Ligat Ha'al

  • W3-0away to Hapoel Jerusalem24 October 2026
  • W1-0Ironi Tiberias17 October 2026
  • W3-1away to Ironi Kiryat Shmona10 October 2026

Maccabi Haifa

Ligat Ha'al

  • L2-5Hapoel Beer Sheva26 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Maccabi Petah Tikva17 October 2026
  • W4-1away to Hapoel Jerusalem12 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligat Ha'al table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Hapoel Tel Aviv10811216+1525
5Maccabi Haifa106042120+118

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa

  • 19 May 2026Maccabi Haifa 4–1 Hapoel Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
  • 29 April 2026Hapoel Tel Aviv 4–0 Maccabi HaifaLigat Ha'al
  • 6 April 2026Hapoel Tel Aviv 2–0 Maccabi HaifaLigat Ha'al
  • 2 December 2025Maccabi Haifa 2–1 Hapoel Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
  • 17 March 2024Maccabi Haifa 0–0 Hapoel Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
  • 31 December 2023Hapoel Tel Aviv 0–0 Maccabi HaifaLigat Ha'al

Leading scorers: Hapoel Tel Aviv and Maccabi Haifa

Hapoel Tel Aviv

GoalsAssists

  • R. Alkokin32
  • E. Boateng32
  • D. Dappa31

Maccabi Haifa

GoalsAssists

  • Bruninho45
  • A. Novaković41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Hapoel Tel Aviv beat Maccabi Haifa 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Hapoel Tel Aviv at 47%. The goals: Tsunami (own goal) 9' for Hapoel Tel Aviv, Daniel Dappa 45' for Hapoel Tel Aviv, Bruninho 58' for Maccabi Haifa. On expected goals it finished 1.49–1.32.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Hapoel Tel Aviv a 14.6% chance to finish top of the regular season: 18.4% after a win, 12.3% after a draw, 8.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 18.4%, 3.8 points higher than before the match.

For Maccabi Haifa the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 6.7% going in: 9.9% after a win, 5.9% after a draw, 4.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 4.3%, 2.4 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Ligat Ha'al season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Hapoel Tel Aviv v Maccabi Haifa has moved

First published on 17 Oct at 41% / 26% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 47% / 25% / 28%: the biggest move is Hapoel Tel Aviv's chance of winning, up 6 points.

  1. Hapoel Tel Aviv win47%▲ +6
  2. Draw25%▼ −1
  3. Maccabi Haifa win28%▼ −5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.