1 November 2026, 16:00 UTC

FK Partizan vs Zemun Super Liga prediction & result

Stadion Partizana, Belgrade
Full time3 – 0

Final score: FK Partizan 3-0 Zemun.

Before kick-off the model made it 68% FK Partizan, 19% draw, 13% Zemun — fair odds of 1.47, 5.26 and 7.69.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FK Partizan at 68%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FK Partizan99%Draw1%Zemun0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

18'
Nikola Dovedan
⚽Demba Seck
30'
🔁Demba Seckout: Zubairu Ibrahim
45'
⚽Mario Jurčevič
47'
59'
🔁Milan Jokićout: nemanja belakovic
59'
🔁Nikola Dovedanout: Godswill Vadze
🔁Milan aleksicout: Milan Vukotic
60'
🔁Jeferson Marinho dos Santosout: Erik Kojzek
60'
🔁Mario Jurčevičout: Mateja Milovanovic
60'
68'
🔁Dimitrije Tabakovićout: Ognjen Ilic
⚽Milan Vukoticassist: Igor Miladinovic
74'
🔁Nikola Cumicout: B. Kostić
76'
77'
🔁Mykhailo Meskhiout: zarko bogdanovic
77'
🔁novak petrusicout: Eduvie Ikoba
90+2'
•Eduvie Ikoba
90+3'
Eduvie Ikoba

Match stats — FK Partizan vs Zemun

67%Possession33%
22Shots7
9On target3
7Corners4
2.4xG0.46

Goals against chances

FK Partizan3 from 2.40 xGmore than the chances were worth
Zemun0 from 0.46 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

FK Partizan 4-2-3-1
  • 1M. MiloševićG
  • 20Samson NwuluD
  • 44S. MilićD
  • 40N. SimićD
  • 4M. JurčevičD
  • 10I. MiladinovićM
  • 14I. BabaM
  • 19D. SeckM
  • 17M. AleksićM
  • 27N. ČumićM
  • 89JehF
Substitutes
  • 39Z. IbrahimM
  • 11M. VukotićM
  • 32N. TrifunovićM
  • 23S. MitrovićD
  • 5M. MilovanovićD
  • 21Sidney LimaD
  • 31M. KrunićG
  • 99B. KostićF
  • 9E. KojzekF
Coach: A. Stanojević
Zemun 4-2-3-1
  • 99M. DubljanićG
  • 15O. StoimenovskiD
  • 21I. OstojićD
  • 32M. MeskhiD
  • 16M. SpremoD
  • 27U. LjubomiracM
  • 23M. JokićM
  • 14N. DovedanM
  • 7Dimitrije TabakovićM
  • 11S. KnezevicM
  • 9N. PetrusicF
Substitutes
  • 10N. BelakovićF
  • 19G. VadzeF
  • 6Z. BogdanovicM
  • 12E. IkobaF
  • 8O. IlićM
  • 31N. KalatM
  • 1M. KneževićG
  • 25D. ParađinaD
  • 66V. BakićD
Coach: Gjorgji Mojsov

Form going into FK Partizan vs Zemun

FK Partizan

Super Liga

  • W3-2away to Radnicki NIS28 October 2026
  • L0-2Cukaricki24 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Železničar Pančevo18 October 2026

Zemun

Super Liga

  • W1-0Macva23 October 2026
  • L0-3away to Cukaricki17 October 2026
  • L0-3Železničar Pančevo11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serbia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10FK Partizan155282526-117
14Zemun151410829-217

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FK Partizan vs Zemun

  • 18 July 2026Zemun 2–2 FK PartizanSuper Liga
  • 22 May 2020FK Partizan 2–1 ZemunFriendlies Clubs
  • 5 December 2018FK Partizan 1–0 ZemunSuper Liga
  • 12 August 2018Zemun 0–1 FK PartizanSuper Liga
  • 25 February 2018FK Partizan 1–1 ZemunSuper Liga
  • 25 October 2017Zemun 1–3 FK PartizanSuper Liga

Leading scorers: FK Partizan and Zemun

FK Partizan

GoalsAssists

  • E. Kojzek32

Zemun

No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FK Partizan beat Zemun 3–0. The model had made a win for FK Partizan its most likely outcome, at 68%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Demba Seck 30' for FK Partizan, Mario Jurčevič 47' for FK Partizan, Milan Vukotic 74' for FK Partizan. Sent off: Eduvie Ikoba (Zemun) 90+3'. On expected goals it finished 2.40–0.46.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave FK Partizan a 31.4% chance to finish in the top six: 34.6% after a win, 20.7% after a draw, 19.7% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 34.6%, 3.2 points higher than before the match.

For Zemun the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 97.7% going in: 94.0% after a win, 97.5% after a draw, 98.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 98.4%, 0.7 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on FK Partizan v Zemun has moved

First published on 18 Oct at 73% / 17% / 10% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 68% / 19% / 13%: the biggest move is FK Partizan's chance of winning, down 5 points.

  1. FK Partizan win68%▼ −5
  2. Draw19%▲ +2
  3. Zemun win13%▲ +3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.