30 August 2026, 03:10 UTC

Santos Laguna vs Tigres UANL Liga MX prediction & result

Estadio Corona
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Santos Laguna 0-0 Tigres UANL.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% Santos Laguna, 28% draw, 35% Tigres UANL — fair odds of 2.70, 3.57 and 2.86.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Santos Laguna at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Santos Laguna5%Draw92%Tigres UANL3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Franco Pardo
14'
26'
🔁V. Loronaout: F. Reyes
Aldo Lopez Vargas
37'
61'
Fernando Gorriarán
65'
🔁D. A. Sanchez Guevaraout: M. Lainez
65'
🔁D. Lainezout: R. Monreal
🔁D. Gonzalezout: E. Echeverria
68'
🔁F. Pardoout: J. Perez
68'
🔁R. Sordoout: E. Aguirre
68'
🔁F. Villalbaout: J. Guemez
76'
Javier Güemez
83'
85'
Fernando Gorriarán
85'
Fernando Gorriarán
🔁E. Oronaout: L. Gomez
87'
Luis Gómez
90'
90+6'
🔁out: R. Guerrero
90+6'
🔁J. Garzaout: Simeone

Match stats — Santos Laguna vs Tigres UANL

59%Possession41%
20Shots15
4On target2
12Corners3
0.89xG1.26

Goals against chances

Santos Laguna0 from 0.89 xGless than the chances were worth
Tigres UANL0 from 1.26 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Santos Laguna 3-4-1-2
  • 1C. AcevedoG
  • 18F. PardoD
  • 25F. SanchezD
  • 14E. OronaD
  • 3M. CuevasM
  • 77K. PalaciosM
  • 5A. LopezM
  • 7D. GonzalezM
  • 21F. VillalbaF
  • 10E. BullaudeF
  • 26R. SordoF
Substitutes
  • 33H. HolguinG
  • 4J. AbellaD
  • 17E. EcheverriaD
  • 28J. PerezD
  • 8S. Mariscal MurraM
  • 6J. GuemezM
  • 15J. ManchaM
  • 193L. GomezM
  • 19E. AguirreF
Coach: Paiva Renato
Tigres UANL 4-2-3-1
  • 1N. GuzmanG
  • 14J. Garza
  • 28JoaquimD
  • 15A. FrancoD
  • 32V. LoronaD
  • 8F. GorriaranM
  • 23RomuloM
  • 16D. LainezM
  • 11J. BrunettaM
  • 30D. A. Sanchez GuevaraM
  • 17R. AguirreF
Substitutes
  • 25F. RodriguezG
  • 2F. ReyesD
  • 33R. GuerreroD
  • 26F. I. Ordonez DelgadoD
  • 200D. RamirezD
  • 192E. J. Villavicencio AvilaM
  • 198I. GalvanM
  • 34SimeoneM
  • 19M. LainezF
Coach: Manuel Vucetich Rojas Victor

Form going into Santos Laguna vs Tigres UANL

Santos Laguna

All competitions we cover

  • L2-3away to Puebla23 August 2026
  • L0-1Guadalajara Chivas17 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Club America2 August 2026
  • L0-1Atlas26 July 2026
  • L2-3away to Monterrey19 July 2026

Tigres UANL

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0Atlante FC22 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Atlas16 August 2026
  • L2-3away to Club Queretaro1 August 2026
  • D2-2Atletico San Luis26 July 2026
  • L1-3away to Club Tijuana17 July 2026

What these results say

  • Santos Laguna did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Santos Laguna conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Tigres UANL scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Tigres UANL failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Tigres UANL conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Santos Laguna168172320+325
15Tigres UANL163671725-815

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Santos Laguna vs Tigres UANL

  • 7 February 2026Tigres UANL 5–1 Santos LagunaLiga MX
  • 31 August 2025Santos Laguna 0–1 Tigres UANLLiga MX
  • 15 March 2025Tigres UANL 3–0 Santos LagunaLiga MX
  • 21 July 2024Santos Laguna 0–3 Tigres UANLLiga MX
  • 11 February 2024Santos Laguna 0–3 Tigres UANLLiga MX
  • 31 August 2023Tigres UANL 3–2 Santos LagunaLiga MX

The full Santos Laguna vs Tigres UANL record →

Leading scorers: Santos Laguna and Tigres UANL

Santos Laguna

GoalsAssists

  • Tahiel Adrián Jiménez Sánchez60

Tigres UANL

GoalsAssists

  • J. Brunetta94

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Santos Laguna and Tigres UANL drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Santos Laguna at 37% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. Sent off: Fernando Gorriarán (Tigres UANL) 85'. On expected goals it finished 0.89–1.26.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.