5 September 2026, 03:00 UTC

FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca Liga MX prediction & result

Full time0 – 2

Final score: FC Juarez 0-2 CF Pachuca.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% FC Juarez, 29% draw, 37% CF Pachuca — fair odds of 2.94, 3.45 and 2.70.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

CF Pachuca at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Juarez0%Draw4%CF Pachuca96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Denzell Garcia
20'
Jesús Murillo
27'
Eder Lopez
42'
Javier Aquino
50'
53'
⚽S. Rondonassist: C. Sanchez
🔁E. Lopezout: Guilherme Castilho
56'
Rodrigo Dourado
63'
65'
🔁E. Montielout: A. Arroyo
65'
🔁O. Idrissiout: N. Vallejo
🔁D. Garciaout: F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin
70'
🔁Rodrigo Douradoout: Monchu
70'
🔁J. Aquinoout: Madson
70'
71'
🔁Kenedyout: A. Bautista
77'
Christian Rivera
80'
🔁S. Rodriguezout: R. Pizarro
80'
🔁S. Rondonout: A. Alcaraz
🔁J. M. Torres Ramirez I.out: L. Dupuy
83'
85'
Sergio Barreto
87'
Carlos Sánchez
Alejandro Mayorga
88'
90+5'
Francisco Venegas
90'
⚽A. Bautistaassist: N. Vallejo

Match stats — FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca

52%Possession48%
10Shots14
1On target4
1Corners3
0.63xG0.93

Goals against chances

FC Juarez0 from 0.63 xGless than the chances were worth
CF Pachuca2 from 0.93 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

FC Juarez 4-2-3-1
  • 1S. JuradoG
  • 20J. AquinoD
  • 3J. MurilloD
  • 2G. SepulvedaD
  • 4A. MayorgaD
  • 13Rodrigo DouradoM
  • 5D. GarciaM
  • 10J. M. Torres Ramirez I.M
  • 11J. RodriguezM
  • 14E. LopezM
  • 19O. EstupinanF
Substitutes
  • 24B. DiazG
  • 23H. OrtegaD
  • 33F. J. Nevarez PulgarinD
  • 7R. FulgencioM
  • 16J. SigalaM
  • 6MonchuM
  • 8Guilherme CastilhoM
  • 21RicardinhoM
  • 17L. DupuyF
Coach: Salvador Valero
CF Pachuca 4-2-3-1
  • 25C. MorenoG
  • 14C. SanchezD
  • 4Eduardo BauermannD
  • 2S. D. BarretoD
  • 15F. VenegasD
  • 30S. RodriguezM
  • 16C. RiveraM
  • 29KenedyM
  • 10E. MontielM
  • 11O. IdrissiM
  • 23S. RondonF
Substitutes
  • 31J. EulogioG
  • 6M. IsaisD
  • 206T. A. ContrerasM
  • 28A. ArroyoM
  • 187G. AlvarezF
  • 32P. BudibD
  • 7R. PizarroM
  • 26A. BautistaM
  • 9A. AlcarazM
Coach: Benjamin Mora

Form going into FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca

FC Juarez

All competitions we cover

  • L0-4away to Toluca31 August 2026
  • L1-2Club America22 August 2026
  • L1-6away to Monterrey16 August 2026
  • L1-5Pumas UNAM1 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Guadalajara Chivas25 July 2026

CF Pachuca

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Guadalajara Chivas29 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Atletico San Luis23 August 2026
  • L2-3Puebla18 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Leon2 August 2026
  • L1-2Club Queretaro27 July 2026

What these results say

  • FC Juarez did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • FC Juarez conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for FC Juarez had three goals or more.
  • CF Pachuca did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • CF Pachuca conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • CF Pachuca scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
18FC Juarez1632111334-2111
9CF Pachuca166462920+922

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: FC Juarez and CF Pachuca

FC Juarez

GoalsAssists

  • Ó. Estupiñán80

CF Pachuca

GoalsAssists

  • S. Rondón162

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

CF Pachuca won 2–0 at FC Juarez. The model had made a win for CF Pachuca its most likely outcome, at 37%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: S. Rondon 53' for CF Pachuca, A. Bautista 90' for CF Pachuca. On expected goals it finished 0.63–0.93.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.