30 August 2026, 01:05 UTC

Club America vs Puebla Liga MX prediction & result

Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Club America 2-0 Puebla.

Before kick-off the model made it 51% Club America, 25% draw, 24% Puebla — fair odds of 1.96, 4.00 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Club America at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Club America99%Draw1%Puebla0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Icaro
24'
46'
🔁A. Ramirezout: S. Sanabria
🔁D. Arriagaout: Raphael Veiga
62'
🔁A. H. Gutierrez Torresout: B. Rodriguez
62'
🔁O. Pereaout: I. Violante
62'
🔁E. Cerrilloout: I. Reyes
67'
🔁Icaroout: E. Sanchez
67'
69'
S. Sanabria
69'
🔁E. Mustreout: L. Hernandez
70'
🔁A. Organistaout: M. Tomas
⚽B. Rodriguezassist: R. Juarez
77'
83'
🔁B. Garnicaout: O. F. Moreno Villegas
87'
🔁I. Morenoout: J. R. Pachuca Martinez

Match stats — Club America vs Puebla

54%Possession46%
20Shots23
6On target6
3Corners8
0.81xG0.8

Goals against chances

Club America2 from 0.81 xGmore than the chances were worth
Puebla0 from 0.80 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Club America 4-2-3-1
  • 21F. TapiaG
  • 2E. LaraD
  • 29R. JuarezD
  • 32M. VazquezD
  • 34D. EspinozaD
  • 6E. CerrilloM
  • 27IcaroM
  • 186D. ArriagaM
  • 20A. H. Gutierrez TorresM
  • 22O. PereaM
  • 189A. CardenasF
Substitutes
  • 30R. CotaG
  • 26C. BorjaD
  • 5K. AlvarezD
  • 3I. ReyesD
  • 4S. CaceresD
  • 28E. SanchezM
  • 23Raphael VeigaM
  • 7B. RodriguezF
  • 9H. MartinF
Coach: Guillermo Almada Alves Jorge
Puebla 4-2-3-1
  • 28D. GutierrezG
  • 12I. MorenoD
  • 5F. AlmadaD
  • 4J. VargasD
  • 7F. MonarrezD
  • 24A. OrganistaM
  • 16A. RamirezM
  • 27B. GarnicaM
  • 26K. VelascoM
  • 22C. BaltazarM
  • 29E. MustreF
Substitutes
  • 33J. RodriguezG
  • 15O. VillaD
  • 20J. R. Pachuca MartinezD
  • 2A. LeyvaD
  • 10M. TomasM
  • 3A. HerreraM
  • 34Lucas CamiloM
  • 21S. SanabriaM
  • 9L. HernandezF
Coach: Gerardo Espinoza

Form going into Club America vs Puebla

Club America

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1away to FC Juarez22 August 2026
  • W3-0Atletico San Luis16 August 2026
  • W3-0Santos Laguna2 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Atlante FC25 July 2026
  • W1-0away to Club Queretaro19 July 2026

Puebla

All competitions we cover

  • W3-2Santos Laguna23 August 2026
  • W3-2away to CF Pachuca18 August 2026
  • D1-1Guadalajara Chivas1 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Cruz Azul22 July 2026
  • W1-0away to FC Juarez18 July 2026

What these results say

  • Club America went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Club America scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Club America won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Puebla scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Puebla conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Puebla.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Club America168623823+1530
13Puebla165471923-419

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Club America vs Puebla

  • 21 February 2026Puebla 0–4 Club AmericaLiga MX
  • 22 October 2025Club America 2–1 PueblaLiga MX
  • 8 February 2025Puebla 1–2 Club AmericaLiga MX
  • 25 August 2024Club America 0–1 PueblaLiga MX
  • 27 April 2024Puebla 1–2 Club AmericaLiga MX
  • 16 July 2023Club America 3–0 PueblaLiga MX

The full Club America vs Puebla record →

Leading scorers: Club America and Puebla

Club America

GoalsAssists

  • H. Martín113
  • M. Borja60
  • B. Rodríguez53

Puebla

No player in Liga MX's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Club America beat Puebla 2–0. The model had made a win for Club America its most likely outcome, at 51%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Icaro 24' for Club America, B. Rodriguez 77' for Club America. On expected goals it finished 0.81–0.80.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.