Lyngby vs FC Midtjylland Superliga prediction & result
Final score: Lyngby 1-1 FC Midtjylland.
Before kick-off the model made it 65% Lyngby, 17% draw, 18% FC Midtjylland — fair odds of 1.54, 5.88 and 5.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Lyngby at 65% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Lyngby vs FC Midtjylland
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 31D. KochenG
- 2O. BuurD
- 30M. FischerD
- 24M. GaranangaD
- 25R. TytensD
- 19G. FrauloM
- 18J. ThomasenM
- 13DaniM
- 14L. SandgravM
- 10I. Thorvaldsson
- 7S. ColynF
- 1J. AegidiusG
- 6D. F. KristjanssonD
- 12D. AronssonD
- 4C. AllenD
- 8M. HeboM
- 17W. SteindorssonM
- 5O. HojerM
- 26F. GytkjaerF
- 16A. BondergaardF
- 1E. OlafssonG
- 3M. JensenD
- 6M. ErlicD
- 22M. B. SorensenD
- 5R. KristensenM
- 8P. BillingM
- 19P. BravoM
- 15D. Beni
- 11D. OsorioF
- 20V. ByskovF
- 7FranculinoF
- 25N. BakkerG
- 13A. GabrielD
- 29K. WatjenM
- 27S. JohannesenM
- 21D. CastilloM
- 10Cho Gue-SungF
- 18S. IheanachoF
- 90F. EtimF
- 38J. EmefileM
Form going into Lyngby vs FC Midtjylland
Lyngby
- L0-2away to Randers FC9 August 2026
- D2-2Aarhus1 August 2026
- L2-3away to FC Copenhagen26 July 2026
FC Midtjylland
- W3-2Bohemians13 August 2026
- W2-0away to Bohemians6 August 2026
- W2-1AC Horsens2 August 2026
- L0-2Beşiktaş30 July 2026
- W3-2away to Sonderjyske26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lyngby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 2 | FC Midtjylland | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Lyngby vs FC Midtjylland
- 16 August 2026Lyngby 1–1 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
- 16 February 2025FC Midtjylland 1–0 LyngbySuperliga
- 16 August 2024Lyngby 1–2 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
- 27 October 2023FC Midtjylland 2–1 LyngbySuperliga
- 6 August 2023Lyngby 4–1 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
- 7 May 2023Lyngby 2–1 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
Leading scorers: Lyngby and FC Midtjylland
Lyngby
- Í. Þorvaldsson3 goals2 assists
- S. Colyn3 goals1 assists
FC Midtjylland
- F. Etim3 goals2 assists
- S. Iheanacho3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.