22 August 2026, 15:30 UTC

MTK Budapest vs Nyiregyhaza NB I prediction & result

Budapest
Full time1 – 1

Final score: MTK Budapest 1-1 Nyiregyhaza.

Before kick-off the model made it 63% MTK Budapest, 23% draw, 14% Nyiregyhaza — fair odds of 1.59, 4.35 and 7.14. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts MTK Budapest at 63% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽G. Jurek
3'
23'
⚽M. Kvasina (pen)assist: M. Kvasina
S. Radic
25'
36'
⚽M. Kvasinaassist: V. Jovanov
46'
🔁B. Mannerout: M. Katona
🔁A. G. Zuborout: I. Bognar
46'
50'
Y. Toma
64'
🔁B. Katonaout: J. Batoum
🔁K. Hinoraout: G. Komaromi
68'
🔁Z. Kerezsiout: A. Nyers
68'
⚽G. Jurekassist: I. Bognar
69'
76'
🔁N. Antonovout: B. Olah
P. Kovacs
78'
80'
M. Katona
87'
🔁B. Benczenleitnerout: D. Babunski
A. Zeljkovic
89'
🔁G. Jurekout: I. Beriashvili
90'

Line-ups

MTK Budapest
  • 1P. Demjen
  • 2B. Varju
  • 26V. Armalas
  • 55S. Radic
  • 27P. Kovacs
  • 6M. Kata
  • 80A. Zeljkovic
  • 11G. Jurek
  • 8A. G. Zubor
  • 17K. Hinora
  • 20Z. Kerezsi
Substitutes
  • 24T. Fadgyas
  • 4I. Beriashvili
  • 5D. Horvath
  • 10I. Bognar
  • 23J. Plsek
  • 16K. Laszlo
  • 7D. Zsori
  • 13M. Timoteus
  • 37A. Nyers
Coach: Mate Pinezits
Nyiregyhaza
  • 22M. Molnar
  • 24V. Jovanov
  • 15A. Temesvari
  • 31L. Katona
  • 66B. Benczenleitner
  • 10B. Manner
  • 12M. Kovacs
  • 6Y. Toma
  • 7N. Antonov
  • 9M. Kvasina
  • 55B. Katona
Substitutes
  • 57M. Dala
  • 32B. Toth
  • 39R. Zikovic
  • 99A. Alaxai
  • 74D. Kaczvinszki
  • 8Z. Hos
  • 21Z. Vukk
  • 70M. Katona
  • 17B. Olah
Coach: Tamas Bodog

Form going into MTK Budapest vs Nyiregyhaza

MTK Budapest

  • D1-1away to Ujpest15 August 2026
  • L2-3Puskas Academy7 August 2026

Nyiregyhaza

  • W2-1Kisvarda FC15 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Debreceni VSC9 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

NB I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6MTK Budapest72321412+29
10Nyiregyhaza7214813-57

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: MTK Budapest vs Nyiregyhaza

  • 22 August 2026MTK Budapest 2–1 NyiregyhazaNB I
  • 2 May 2026MTK Budapest 1–1 NyiregyhazaNB I
  • 8 February 2026Nyiregyhaza 4–2 MTK BudapestNB I
  • 18 October 2025MTK Budapest 5–1 NyiregyhazaNB I
  • 16 March 2025MTK Budapest 3–0 NyiregyhazaNB I
  • 8 November 2024Nyiregyhaza 2–0 MTK BudapestNB I

Leading scorers: MTK Budapest and Nyiregyhaza

MTK Budapest

  • Zalán Márk Kerezsi4 goals2 assists
  • G. Jurek4 goals1 assists

Nyiregyhaza

No player in NB I's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.