22 August 2026, 13:30 UTC

Vasas vs Puskas Academy NB I prediction & result

Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, Budapest
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Vasas 0-1 Puskas Academy.

Before kick-off the model made it 68% Vasas, 21% draw, 11% Puskas Academy — fair odds of 1.47, 4.76 and 9.09. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Vasas at 68% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Vasas0%Draw4%Puskas Academy96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

21'
R. Szolnoki
27'
G. Harutyunyan
B. Rab
44'
46'
🔁M. Kernout: Z. Varga
46'
🔁L. Colleyout: A. Nemeth
46'
🔁R. Szolnokiout: R. Orjan
60'
🔁P. Dardaiout: Z. Krupa
🔁M. Kosztaout: B. Petho
71'
🔁M. Kovacsretiout: A. Rado
72'
🔁M. Tothout: B. Barath
81'
85'
⚽A. Nemethassist: R. Orjan
86'
🔁D. Lukacsout: B. Vekony

Line-ups

Vasas
  • 87M. Engedi
  • 22V. Gey
  • 57P. Iyinbor
  • 17D. Csoka
  • 14A. Doktorics
  • 10M. Kovacsreti
  • 15S. Hidi
  • 16B. Rab
  • 77M. Toth
  • 9M. Koszta
  • 88J. Urblik
Substitutes
  • 26J. Uram
  • 36B. Barath
  • 4B. Pavkovics
  • 68A. Girsik
  • 24S. Mezei
  • 94B. Cseke
  • 8B. Z. Bano-Szabo
  • 29B. Petho
  • 7A. Rado
Coach: Gabor Eros
Puskas Academy
  • 72B. Lehoczki
  • 22R. Szolnoki
  • 14W. Golla
  • 21G. Harutyunyan
  • 33B. Ormonde-Ottewill
  • 6L. Duarte
  • 10P. Dardai
  • 74M. Kern
  • 4M. Okeke
  • 8D. Lukacs
  • 9L. Colley
Substitutes
  • 24T. Markek
  • 80B. Farkas
  • 76B. Pal
  • 96R. Orjan
  • 88B. Vekony
  • 66Z. Varga
  • 68D. Brugger
  • 90A. Nemeth
  • 20M. Soisalo
Coach: Levente Babo

Form going into Vasas vs Puskas Academy

Vasas

  • W2-1away to Budapest Honved14 August 2026
  • W5-0Zalaegerszegi TE8 August 2026

Puskas Academy

  • W3-2Paks16 August 2026
  • W3-2away to MTK Budapest7 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

NB I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Vasas7322139+411
2Puskas Academy7403109+112

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Vasas vs Puskas Academy

  • 22 August 2026Vasas 0–1 Puskas AcademyNB I
  • 13 September 2025Vasas 4–1 Puskas AcademyMagyar Kupa
  • 29 April 2023Vasas 2–2 Puskas AcademyNB I
  • 3 February 2023Puskas Academy 1–1 VasasNB I
  • 3 September 2022Vasas 1–1 Puskas AcademyNB I
  • 7 April 2018Vasas 1–2 Puskas AcademyNB I

Leading scorers: Vasas and Puskas Academy

Vasas

  • M. Kovácsréti2 goals1 assists

Puskas Academy

  • A. Németh2 goals1 assists
  • G. Harutyunyan2 goals
  • L. Colley2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.