Zlin vs Slovan Liberec Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Zlin 0-1 Slovan Liberec.
Before kick-off the model made it 29% Zlin, 25% draw, 46% Slovan Liberec — fair odds of 3.45, 4.00 and 2.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Slovan Liberec at 46% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Zlin vs Slovan Liberec
Line-ups
- 17Stanislav DostalG
- 23Miloš KopečnýD
- 24Jakub ČernínD
- 28Jakub KolarD
- 22Michal FukalaD
- 19Cletus NombilM
- 10Stanislav PetrutaM
- 21David GrygeraM
- 20Frank AppiahM
- 82Marián PišojaM
- 9Daniel ŠmigaF
- 64Stepan BachurekG
- 35Ondřej KukučkaD
- 45Prince Mbatshi MukubaD
- 39Antonín KřapkaD
- 37Tomas FojtuM
- 53Tomas HellebrandM
- 26Michal CupakM
- 4Tom UlbrichM
- 31Lukas BartosakD
- 40Tomáš KoubekG
- 18Josef KoželuhD
- 29Lukáš HůlkaD
- 14Augustin DrakpeD
- 27Aziz KayondoD
- 16Alexandr BužekM
- 8Lukáš MasopustM
- 5Petr HodoušM
- 15Milan LexaM
- 19Vasil KušejM
- 99Raimonds KrollisF
- 47Jindrich MusilG
- 33Lukáš PešlG
- 7Soliu AfolabiM
- 60Fallou FayeM
- 24Patrik DulayM
- 94Ghislain Vénuste BaboulaF
- 6Aleko BasiladzeF
- 12Vojtěch StránskýM
- 10Qendrim ZybaM
Form going into Zlin vs Slovan Liberec
Zlin
- L2-3away to Plzen15 August 2026
Slovan Liberec
- D1-1Slavia Praha16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Zlin | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 0 |
| 2 | Slovan Liberec | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zlin vs Slovan Liberec
- 22 August 2026Zlin 0–1 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
- 1 February 2026Slovan Liberec 2–0 ZlinCzech Liga
- 23 August 2025Zlin 1–0 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
- 28 February 2024Zlin 2–1 Slovan LiberecCup
- 9 December 2023Slovan Liberec 5–3 ZlinCzech Liga
- 12 August 2023Zlin 1–1 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Zlin and Slovan Liberec
Zlin
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Slovan Liberec
- P. Dulay3 goals1 assists
- L. Mašek3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.