30 August 2026, 00:30 UTC

Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer prediction & result

Geodis Park, Nashville
Full time4 – 0

Final score: Nashville SC 4-0 FC Cincinnati.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Nashville SC, 26% draw, 26% FC Cincinnati — fair odds of 2.08, 3.85 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Nashville SC at 48% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati

Nashville SC

  • W3-2Columbus Crew23 August 2026
  • W1-0away to New York Red Bulls19 August 2026
  • W4-1Inter Miami16 August 2026
  • D2-2away to DC United1 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Orlando City SC25 July 2026

FC Cincinnati

  • D1-1Seattle Sounders22 August 2026
  • W2-1New York City FC19 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Orlando City SC15 August 2026
  • W4-2San Jose Earthquakes1 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Columbus Crew25 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati

  • 13 September 2025FC Cincinnati 2–1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
  • 30 March 2025Nashville SC 1–2 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
  • 22 September 2024Nashville SC 2–2 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
  • 29 May 2024FC Cincinnati 0–2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
  • 5 August 2023FC Cincinnati 1–1 Nashville SCLeagues Cup
  • 15 July 2023FC Cincinnati 3–1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: Nashville SC and FC Cincinnati

Nashville SC

  • S. Surridge15 goals
  • H. Mukhtar10 goals6 assists

FC Cincinnati

  • K. Denkey13 goals2 assists
  • Evander12 goals8 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.