Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Houston Dynamo 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Houston Dynamo, 24% draw, 21% San Jose Earthquakes — fair odds of 1.82, 4.17 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Houston Dynamo at 55% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes
Houston Dynamo
- L1-2away to St. Louis City23 August 2026
San Jose Earthquakes
- L1-5Minnesota United FC23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 28 | +4 | 43 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 44 | 36 | +8 | 41 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes
- 24 August 2025Houston Dynamo 1–2 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- 25 May 2025San Jose Earthquakes 3–3 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- 18 July 2024San Jose Earthquakes 0–1 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- 31 March 2024Houston Dynamo 2–1 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- 22 June 2023Houston Dynamo 4–1 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- 2 April 2023San Jose Earthquakes 2–1 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Houston Dynamo and San Jose Earthquakes
Houston Dynamo
- Guilherme13 goals6 assists
San Jose Earthquakes
- P. Judd12 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.