Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Sporting Kansas City 0-3 Vancouver Whitecaps.
Before kick-off the model made it 33% Sporting Kansas City, 28% draw, 39% Vancouver Whitecaps — fair odds of 3.03, 3.57 and 2.56.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Vancouver Whitecaps at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 30S. ClevelandG
- 13J. ReynoldsD
- 3M. MosqueraD
- 5O. BlorianD
- 18E. KaricD
- 7CapitaM
- 4L. JohnsenM
- 16J. BartlettM
- 14C. HarrisM
- 93S. SuleymanovF
- 19T. CalheiraF
- 1J. PulskampG
- 15J. MillerD
- 57Diego BorgesD
- 99J. ReidD
- 2I. JamesD
- 28W. MeyerD
- 20K. AgyabengM
- 11Andre LuizF
- 17S. AfrifaF
- 1Y. TakaokaG
- 18E. OcampoD
- 2M. LabordaD
- 33T. BlackmonD
- 28T. JohnsonD
- 8O. LarrazM
- 20A. CubasM
- 25R. GauldM
- 13T. MullerM
- 14B. CaicedoM
- 24B. WhiteF
- 32I. BoehmerG
- 29M. GherasimencovD
- 3S. AdekugbeD
- 41N. DjordjevicD
- 26J. NgandoM
- 59J. BadwalM
- 11E. SabbiF
- 19R. ElloumiF
- 7C. SabalyF
Form going into Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps
Sporting Kansas City
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Atlanta United FC23 August 2026
- D1-1St. Louis City20 August 2026
- L0-2away to Colorado Rapids16 August 2026
- L0-2Houston Dynamo2 August 2026
- L0-4away to Los Angeles FC26 July 2026
Vancouver Whitecaps
All competitions we cover
- W5-0FC Dallas23 August 2026
- L0-1Houston Dynamo20 August 2026
- W2-0away to Seattle Sounders17 August 2026
- D1-1Los Angeles FC1 August 2026
- D0-0away to Minnesota United FC26 July 2026
What these results say
- Sporting Kansas City did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Sporting Kansas City conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Vancouver Whitecaps had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 26 |
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74 | 34 | +40 | 64 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps
- 18 April 2026Vancouver Whitecaps 3–0 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- 21 September 2025Sporting Kansas City 0–2 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 27 July 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 3–0 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- 18 July 2024Vancouver Whitecaps 2–1 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- 30 May 2024Sporting Kansas City 1–2 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 2 July 2023Sporting Kansas City 3–0 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Sporting Kansas City and Vancouver Whitecaps
Sporting Kansas City
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 40 league goals as a side.
Vancouver Whitecaps
GoalsAssists
- B. White202
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Vancouver Whitecaps won 3–0 at Sporting Kansas City. The model had made a win for Vancouver Whitecaps its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: T. Muller (penalty) 40' for Vancouver Whitecaps, B. White 48' for Vancouver Whitecaps, R. Elloumi 90' for Vancouver Whitecaps. On expected goals it finished 0.38–2.97.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.