Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Minnesota United FC 3-3 Orlando City SC.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Minnesota United FC, 26% draw, 32% Orlando City SC — fair odds of 2.38, 3.85 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Minnesota United FC at 42% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC
Minnesota United FC
- W5-1away to San Jose Earthquakes23 August 2026
Orlando City SC
- W2-1Real Salt Lake22 August 2026
- L1-2Chicago Fire19 August 2026
- D1-1FC Cincinnati15 August 2026
- L2-3away to New York Red Bulls1 August 2026
- W1-0Nashville SC25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Head-to-head: Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC
- 10 March 2024Orlando City SC 2–3 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- 16 April 2023Minnesota United FC 1–2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- 1 February 2023Orlando City SC 2–0 Minnesota United FCFriendlies Clubs
- 9 April 2021Orlando City SC 3–2 Minnesota United FCFriendlies Clubs
- 7 August 2020Orlando City SC 3–1 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- 18 August 2019Minnesota United FC 1–1 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Minnesota United FC and Orlando City SC
Minnesota United FC
- K. Yeboah13 goals2 assists
Orlando City SC
- M. Ojeda11 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.