2 November 2026, 00:00 UTC

New England Revolution vs Inter Miami Major League Soccer prediction & result

Gillette Stadium, Boston
Referee: Ricardo Montero Araya
Full time1 – 2

Final score: New England Revolution 1-2 Inter Miami.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% New England Revolution, 24% draw, 40% Inter Miami — fair odds of 2.78, 4.17 and 2.50.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Inter Miami at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

New England Revolution0%Draw5%Inter Miami95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

25'
Gonzalo Lujan
⚽Dániel Gazdagassist: Ilay Feingold
53'
63'
🔁Yannick Brightout: Matías Galarza
63'
🔁Gonzalo Lujanout: Sergio Reguilón
69'
⚽Germán Berterameassist: Lionel Messi
71'
🔁Riquelme Fillipiout: Luis Suárez
75'
Matías Galarza
🔁Ilay Feingoldout: Alhassan Yusuf
76'
83'
⚽Lionel Messiassist: Telasco Segovia
🔁Matt Polsterout: Luca Daniel·Langoni
85'
85'
Telasco Segovia
89'
•Ian Fray
90+3'
🔁Germán Berterameout: David Ayala
90+3'
🔁Telasco Segoviaout: Facundo Mura
🔁Ethan Kohlerout: Diego Fagúndez
90+3'
Luca Daniel·Langoni
90+6'

Match stats — New England Revolution vs Inter Miami

54%Possession46%
13Shots14
3On target6
7Corners1
1.25xG1.55

Goals against chances

New England Revolution1 from 1.25 xGabout what the chances were worth
Inter Miami2 from 1.55 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

New England Revolution 4-2-3-1
  • 30M. TurnerG
  • 12I. FeingoldD
  • 22E. KohlerD
  • 66J. WynderD
  • 23W. SandsD
  • 8M. PolsterM
  • 21B. RainesM
  • 25P. MillerM
  • 10Carles GilM
  • 16D. GazdagM
  • 99D. TurgemanF
Substitutes
  • 88A. FarrellD
  • 77D. FagundezM
  • 4T. BeasonD
  • 2M. FofanaD
  • 41L. LangoniF
  • 33D. ParisianG
  • 7G. YowF
  • 14J. YueillM
  • 80A. YusufM
Coach: M. Mićović
Inter Miami 4-3-3
  • 97D. St. ClairG
  • 17I. FrayD
  • 5CasemiroD
  • 16MicaelD
  • 2G. LujánD
  • 7R. De PaulM
  • 42Y. BrightM
  • 8T. SegoviaM
  • 10L. MessiF
  • 11Riquelme FillipiF
  • 19G. BerterameF
Substitutes
  • 9L. SuárezF
  • 22D. AyalaM
  • 37M. FalcónD
  • 80M. GalarzaM
  • 20S. MoralesM
  • 4F. MuraD
  • 56Daniel PinterF
  • 3ReguilónD
  • 34R. Ríos NovoG
Coach: Kily González

Form going into New England Revolution vs Inter Miami

New England Revolution

Major League Soccer

  • W3-2New York Red Bulls28 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Philadelphia Union24 October 2026
  • W1-0Chicago Fire17 October 2026

Inter Miami

Major League Soccer

  • D2-2FC Cincinnati28 October 2026
  • L0-2away to New York Red Bulls24 October 2026
  • W3-1away to Atlanta United FC17 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3New England Revolution34184125547+858
2Inter Miami34161268059+2160

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: New England Revolution vs Inter Miami

  • 25 April 2026Inter Miami 1–1 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
  • 4 October 2025Inter Miami 4–1 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
  • 9 July 2025New England Revolution 1–2 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
  • 20 October 2024Inter Miami 6–2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
  • 27 April 2024New England Revolution 1–4 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
  • 10 June 2023New England Revolution 3–1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: New England Revolution and Inter Miami

New England Revolution

No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 55 league goals as a side.

Inter Miami

GoalsAssists

  • L. Messi2613
  • L. Suárez166

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Inter Miami won 2–1 at New England Revolution. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Inter Miami at 40%. The goals: Dániel Gazdag 53' for New England Revolution, Germán Berterame 69' for Inter Miami, Lionel Messi 83' for Inter Miami. On expected goals it finished 1.25–1.55.

How the call on New England Revolution v Inter Miami has moved

First published on 19 Oct at 32% / 23% / 45% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 36% / 24% / 40%: the biggest move is Inter Miami's chance of winning, down 5 points.

  1. New England Revolution win36%▲ +4
  2. Draw24%▲ +1
  3. Inter Miami win40%▼ −5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.