11 October 2026, 18:15 UTC

Odra Opole vs Miedz Legnica I Liga prediction & result

Itaka Arena, Opole
Referee: P. Rzucidlo
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Odra Opole 1-0 Miedz Legnica.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% Odra Opole, 33% draw, 33% Miedz Legnica — fair odds of 2.94, 3.03 and 3.03.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Odra Opole at 34%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Odra Opole97%Draw3%Miedz Legnica0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

M. Pingot
6'
🔁M. Scaletout: B. Baranski
20'
23'
Z. Petrovic
52'
J. Letniowski
🔁S. Gierobaout: B. Spacil
55'
58'
🔁Z. Petrovicout: D. Stanclik
58'
🔁J. Letniowskiout: J. Serafin
70'
🔁K. Fucakout: M. Mansfeld
70'
🔁K. Antonikout: M. Bochnak
⚽P. Szysz (pen)
76'
79'
I. Maliszewski
80'
🔁G. Norlinout: M. Mazur

I Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
18Odra Opole143381121-1012
8Miedz Legnica145542013+720

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Odra Opole vs Miedz Legnica

  • 6 December 2025Miedz Legnica 2–1 Odra OpoleI Liga
  • 28 July 2025Odra Opole 2–1 Miedz LegnicaI Liga
  • 4 May 2025Miedz Legnica 2–1 Odra OpoleI Liga
  • 26 October 2024Odra Opole 0–2 Miedz LegnicaI Liga
  • 6 April 2024Odra Opole 0–0 Miedz LegnicaI Liga

The result against the call

Odra Opole beat Miedz Legnica 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Odra Opole at 34%. The goal: P. Szysz (penalty) 76' for Odra Opole.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Odra Opole a 33.6% chance to finish in the bottom three: 26.4% after a win, 33.6% after a draw, 40.1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 26.4%, 7.2 points lower than before the match.

For Miedz Legnica the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 23.4% going in: 27.9% after a win, 22.1% after a draw, 19.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 19.0%, 4.4 points lower than before the match.

Read from our I Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.