Omonia 29is Maiou vs Nea Salamis 1. Division prediction & result
Final score: Omonia 29is Maiou 1-0 Nea Salamis.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Omonia 29is Maiou, 24% draw, 30% Nea Salamis — fair odds of 2.17, 4.17 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Cypriot First Division predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Omonia 29is Maiou at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Omonia 29is Maiou vs Nea Salamis
Line-ups
- 45Steve AmbriM
- 27A. VlachomitrosF
- 11Fergus TierneyM
- 30M. SenićD
- 16Constantinos PattichisM
- 15S. PanteliD
- 22K. NwakaliM
- 4A. KaiafasD
- 20S. FiakasM
- 44D. ChantakiasM
- 98F. UzohoG
- 26A. MariosF
- 24Angelos VyntraD
- 8C. AristotelousM
- 89D. ČrnigojM
- 77Luís SantosF
- 7R. FernandesF
- 1Nikos GrammatikakisG
- 43Antonis MavrantonisG
- 10Mike MoraisF
- 7S. GrandsirM
- 25K. IliaM
- 93B. KonatéM
- 5A. MichailD
- 55Sergio GonzálezD
- 1Alberto VaróG
- 10C. GiousisF
- 12A. DimitriouD
- 6Georgios ChristodoulouM
- 19K. AngielskiF
- 17AldairF
- 88Jordi QuintillàM
- 29F. HaninD
- 9Darío PovedaF
- 30A. Panagiotou FiliotisD
- 37B. ManuF
- 89P. LoukaF
- 24V. LampropoulosD
- 63D. KovácsG
- 71G. GerolemouM
Form going into Omonia 29is Maiou vs Nea Salamis
Omonia 29is Maiou
1. Division
- L1-4away to Apoel Nicosia25 October 2026
- W1-0Anorthosis18 October 2026
- L1-2away to AEL11 October 2026
Nea Salamis
1. Division
- D0-0Pafos26 October 2026
- L2-4away to Apollon Limassol17 October 2026
- L1-2away to Apoel Nicosia10 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Cyprus 1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Omonia 29is Maiou | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Nea Salamis | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Omonia 29is Maiou vs Nea Salamis
- 22 March 2026Omonia 29is Maiou 2–2 Nea Salamis2. Division
- 7 February 2026Nea Salamis 2–1 Omonia 29is Maiou2. Division
- 22 November 2025Omonia 29is Maiou 2–3 Nea Salamis2. Division
- 5 May 2025Omonia 29is Maiou 0–1 Nea Salamis1. Division
- 22 February 2025Omonia 29is Maiou 2–1 Nea Salamis1. Division
- 23 November 2024Nea Salamis 0–1 Omonia 29is Maiou1. Division
Leading scorers: Omonia 29is Maiou and Nea Salamis
Omonia 29is Maiou
No player in 1. Division's leading scorers — 15 league goals as a side.
Nea Salamis
GoalsAssists
- S. Grandsir30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Omonia 29is Maiou beat Nea Salamis 1–0. The model had made a win for Omonia 29is Maiou its most likely outcome, at 46%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Luis·Santos 75' for Omonia 29is Maiou.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Omonia 29is Maiou a 22.7% chance to finish in the bottom three: 15.9% after a win, 24.5% after a draw, 30.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 15.9%, 6.8 points lower than before the match.
For Nea Salamis the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 23.6% going in: 14.9% after a win, 22.3% after a draw, 27.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 27.9%, 4.3 points higher than before the match.
Read from our 1. Division season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Omonia 29is Maiou v Nea Salamis has moved
First published on 18 Oct at 52% / 22% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 46% / 24% / 30%: the biggest move is Omonia 29is Maiou's chance of winning, down 6 points.
- Omonia 29is Maiou win46%▼ −6
- Draw24%▲ +2
- Nea Salamis win30%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.