1 November 2026, 13:00 UTC

Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle 1. Division prediction & result

Nord Energi Arena, Hjorring
Referee: M. Thomsen
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Vendsyssel FF 1-1 Vejle.

Before kick-off the model made it 29% Vendsyssel FF, 27% draw, 44% Vejle — fair odds of 3.45, 3.70 and 2.27.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Vejle at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Vendsyssel FF95%Draw5%Vejle0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽H. Tangenassist: A. C. Vendelbo
44'
45+1'
L. Nielsen
🔁M. Hannesboout: J. Sommer
46'
57'
🔁L. Fromout: G. Marcussen
58'
🔁W. Faghirout: A. Camara
58'
🔁L. Hetemiout: T. Gundelund
🔁H. Tangenout: E. Pedersen
62'
🔁A. C. Vendelboout: S. Lodberg
62'
64'
🔁L. Nielsenout: V. Lund
🔁M. Holtout: A. Rise
73'
A. N. Atlason
78'
🔁L. Steffensenout: F. Mortensen
83'
83'
🔁M. Duelundout: H. Christensen
90+1'
⚽G. Vatnhamarassist: T. Bach

Line-ups

Vendsyssel FF
  • 1L. Schulz
  • 23A. Olsen
  • 21B. Clemmensen
  • 73M. Lauritsen
  • 11M. Hannesbo
  • 6R. Schuller
  • 30A. N. Atlason
  • 12A. C. Vendelbo
  • 18M. Holt
  • 15H. Tangen
  • 9L. Steffensen
Substitutes
  • 16M. Nielsen
  • 4B. Konteh
  • 27J. Sommer
  • 14F. Mortensen
  • 31A. Rise
  • 19E. Pedersen
  • 10S. Simpson
  • 17S. Lodberg
  • 5S. Roma
Coach: Kim Engstrom
Vejle
  • 1N. Larsen
  • 23J. Karlsson
  • 4L. Nielsen
  • 15G. Vatnhamar
  • 3C. Sorensen
  • 11L. From
  • 6M. Vestergaard
  • 34L. Hetemi
  • 16T. Bach
  • 19W. Faghir
  • 10M. Duelund
Substitutes
  • 31K. Kristensen
  • 2T. Gundelund
  • 5V. Lund
  • 14H. Christensen
  • 8M. Jensen
  • 25M. Jensen
  • 18G. Marcussen
  • 20A. Camara
  • 30N. Gammelgaard
Coach: Claus Norgaard

Form going into Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle

Vendsyssel FF

1. Division

  • D2-2away to Hobro23 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Kolding IF16 October 2026
  • L0-2HB Koge11 October 2026

Vejle

1. Division

  • D0-0Aarhus Fremad24 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Aalborg17 October 2026
  • L1-2Hvidovre9 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Denmark 1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Vendsyssel FF142661424-1012
2Vejle147612616+1027

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle

  • 4 September 2026Vejle 4–1 Vendsyssel FF1. Division
  • 15 July 2023Vejle 1–4 Vendsyssel FFFriendlies Clubs
  • 4 June 2023Vejle 4–3 Vendsyssel FF1. Division
  • 10 April 2023Vendsyssel FF 0–0 Vejle1. Division
  • 5 March 2023Vejle 1–0 Vendsyssel FF1. Division
  • 11 September 2022Vendsyssel FF 2–0 Vejle1. Division

The result against the call

Vendsyssel FF and Vejle drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Vejle at 44% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: H. Tangen 44' for Vendsyssel FF, G. Vatnhamar 90+1' for Vejle.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Vendsyssel FF a 59.8% chance to finish in the bottom three: 44.4% after a win, 61.7% after a draw, 68.0% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 61.7%, 1.9 points higher than before the match.

For Vejle the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 25.2% going in: 33.4% after a win, 20.0% after a draw, 14.5% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 20.0%, 5.2 points lower than before the match.

Read from our 1. Division season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Vendsyssel FF v Vejle has moved

First published on 18 Oct at 26% / 28% / 46% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 29% / 27% / 44%: the biggest move is Vendsyssel FF's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Vendsyssel FF win29%▲ +3
  2. Draw27%▼ −1
  3. Vejle win44%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.