24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC

Oxford United vs Bradford League One prediction & result

Kassam Stadium, Oxford
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Oxford United 0-0 Bradford.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Oxford United, 31% draw, 26% Bradford — fair odds of 2.33, 3.23 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Oxford United at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Oxford United4%Draw94%Bradford2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

19'
Callumm Connolly
45+3'
George Christopher John Pratt
57'
🔁Will Swanout: Nick Powell
🔁Tyler Goodrhamout: Mark Harris
62'
🔁Mo Missangaout: Aidomo Emakhu
62'
🔁Jack Currieout: Peter Kioso
63'
🔁Gatlin O Donkorout: Luka Lynch
76'
80'
🔁Kayden Jacksonout: Adam Phillips
81'
🔁George Lapslieout: Kieran Morgan
🔁Cameron Brannaganout: Louie Sibley
81'

Match stats — Oxford United vs Bradford

35%Possession65%
15Shots14
2On target5
6Corners8
1.72xG1.45

Goals against chances

Oxford United0 from 1.72 xGless than the chances were worth
Bradford0 from 1.45 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Oxford United 4-2-3-1
  • 1J. CummingG
  • 15B. SpencerD
  • 6M. HelikD
  • 3C. BrownD
  • 26J. CurrieD
  • 4Kai AndrewsM
  • 8C. BrannaganM
  • 57M. MissangaM
  • 11T. GoodrhamM
  • 23S. DembéléM
  • 19G. O'DonkorF
Substitutes
  • 13S. EastwoodG
  • 10A. EmakhuF
  • 9M. HarrisF
  • 30P. KiosoD
  • 2S. LongD
  • 20L. LynchF
  • 32L. SibleyM
Coach: A. Ramsey
Bradford 3-4-2-1
  • 21J. McCrackenG
  • 28M. PenningtonD
  • 15A. BaldwinD
  • 16George Christopher John PrattD
  • 27C. O'KeeffeM
  • 10A. SarcevicM
  • 6C. ConnollyM
  • 3I. TourayM
  • 32G. LapslieM
  • 24W. SwanM
  • 19K. JacksonF
Substitutes
  • 25N. PowellM
  • 23B. PointonF
  • 8A. PhillipsM
  • 22Kieran MorganM
  • 5M. GillespheyD
  • 1C. DawsonG
  • 9J. BeesleyF
Coach: M. Duff

Form going into Oxford United vs Bradford

Oxford United

League One

  • W2-1Wigan20 October 2026

Bradford

League One

  • D0-0away to Burton Albion20 October 2026
  • W2-0Stevenage17 October 2026
  • D0-0Leyton Orient10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

League One table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Oxford United137512211+1126
8Bradford13643108+222

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Oxford United vs Bradford

  • 16 March 2019Oxford United 1–0 BradfordLeague One
  • 24 November 2018Bradford 2–0 Oxford UnitedLeague One
  • 30 December 2017Bradford 3–2 Oxford UnitedLeague One
  • 12 September 2017Oxford United 2–2 BradfordLeague One
  • 14 April 2017Bradford 1–0 Oxford UnitedLeague One
  • 31 January 2017Oxford United 2–1 BradfordEFL Trophy

Leading scorers: Oxford United and Bradford

Oxford United

GoalsAssists

  • M. Harris61
  • G. O'Donkor42

Bradford

No player in League One's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Oxford United and Bradford drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Oxford United at 43% and given a draw 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 1.72–1.45.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Oxford United a 37.6% chance to finish in the top two: 42.1% after a win, 34.8% after a draw, 32.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 34.8%, 2.8 points lower than before the match.

For Bradford the question was the chance to finish in the top two, 16.7% going in: 21.7% after a win, 16.3% after a draw, 13.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 16.3%.

Read from our League One season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.