24 October 2026, 11:30 UTC

Huddersfield vs Wigan League One prediction & result

Accu Stadium, Huddersfield
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Huddersfield 2-1 Wigan.

Before kick-off the model made it 56% Huddersfield, 26% draw, 18% Wigan — fair odds of 1.79, 3.85 and 5.56.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Huddersfield at 56%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Huddersfield99%Draw1%Wigan0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

6'
Sonny Tufail Perkins
12'
Connor Barrett
⚽Ilias Bronkhorstassist: Cameron Humphreys
34'
Ashley Fletcher
39'
43'
Jon Mellish
45'
🔁Sonny Tufail Perkinsout: Charlie Gray
Ibane Bowat
48'
55'
🔁Dara James Morgan Costelloeout: Christian Saydee
56'
🔁Jon Mellishout: K'Marni Miller
🔁Ashley Fletcherout: Marcus Harness
69'
Cameron Humphreys
75'
75'
🔁Morgan Foxout: Jeremiah Chilokoa-Mullen
77'
Charlie Gray
⚽Derensili Sanches Fernandesassist: Marcus Harness
80'
83'
🔁Bradley Burrowesout: Scott Hogan
🔁Derensili Sanches Fernandesout: Samson Tovide
85'
🔁Joe Taylorout: Lynden Gooch
90+2'
90+2'
⚽Christian Saydeeassist: Reggie Walsh
Marcus Harness
90+4'

Match stats — Huddersfield vs Wigan

49%Possession51%
17Shots7
5On target3
6Corners4
3.08xG0.54

Goals against chances

Huddersfield2 from 3.08 xGless than the chances were worth
Wigan1 from 0.54 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Huddersfield 3-4-2-1
  • 1M. YoungG
  • 5J. LowD
  • 15I. BowatD
  • 23S. RoughanD
  • 22I. BronkhorstM
  • 8A. CollinsM
  • 20C. HumphreysM
  • 19B. MumbaM
  • 30D. Sanches FernandesM
  • 9J. TaylorM
  • 11A. FletcherF
Substitutes
  • 34S. TovideF
  • 31J. AlnwickG
  • 24C. AshiaM
  • 12R. BalkerD
  • 14E. BrierleyM
  • 7L. GoochD
  • 10M. HarnessF
Coach: Martin Drury
Wigan 4-4-2
  • 41J. WhitworthG
  • 2C. BarrettD
  • 5F. BurnsD
  • 23J. CarragherD
  • 3M. FoxD
  • 11D. CostelloeM
  • 6J. WeirM
  • 10R. WalshM
  • 22J. MellishM
  • 27B. BurrowsF
  • 9S. PerkinsF
Substitutes
  • 16Archie HarrisD
  • 4J. Chilokoa-MullenD
  • 17A. HigginsF
  • 25S. HoganF
  • 38C. SaydeeF
  • 21K'Marni MillerD
  • 18Charlie GrayM
Coach: G. Caldwell

Form going into Huddersfield vs Wigan

Huddersfield

League One

  • W4-1Peterborough20 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Plymouth17 October 2026

Wigan

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Oxford United20 October 2026
  • W1-0Reading17 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Stevenage10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

League One table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Huddersfield148512812+1629
19Wigan154291323-1014

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Huddersfield vs Wigan

  • 28 February 2026Wigan 1–0 HuddersfieldLeague One
  • 13 December 2025Huddersfield 1–1 WiganLeague One
  • 25 February 2025Wigan 2–1 HuddersfieldLeague One
  • 3 December 2024Huddersfield 1–0 WiganLeague One
  • 11 February 2023Wigan 1–0 HuddersfieldChampionship
  • 13 September 2022Huddersfield 1–2 WiganChampionship

Leading scorers: Huddersfield and Wigan

Huddersfield

GoalsAssists

  • J. Taylor102
  • D. Sanches Fernandes76

Wigan

No player in League One's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Huddersfield beat Wigan 2–1. The model had made a win for Huddersfield its most likely outcome, at 56%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Ilias Bronkhorst 34' for Huddersfield, Derensili Sanches Fernandes 80' for Huddersfield, Christian Saydee 90+2' for Wigan. On expected goals it finished 3.08–0.54.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Huddersfield a 36.4% chance to finish in the top two: 38.8% after a win, 33.0% after a draw, 29.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 38.8%, 2.4 points higher than before the match.

For Wigan the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 43.1% going in: 36.1% after a win, 42.6% after a draw, 44.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 44.6%, 1.5 points higher than before the match.

Read from our League One season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.