4 September 2026, 18:30 UTC

Piast Gliwice vs GKS Katowice Ekstraklasa prediction & result

Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach, Gliwice
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Piast Gliwice 3-0 GKS Katowice.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Piast Gliwice, 28% draw, 31% GKS Katowice — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Piast Gliwice at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Piast Gliwice99%Draw1%GKS Katowice0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽L. Sancaassist: S. Ntamack
5'
9'
Erik Jirka
13'
Eman Marković
27'
Mateusz Kowalczyk
Jakub Łabojko
35'
⚽Juandeassist: Q. Boisgard
35'
40'
Mateusz Wdowiak
46'
🔁E. Jirkaout: M. Wasielewski
🔁J. Labojkoout: O. Lesniak
52'
59'
🔁E. Markovicout: S. Bartlewicz
🔁I. Limaout: S. Mucha
65'
🔁S. Ntamackout: A. Katsantonis
65'
Quentin Boisgard
68'
75'
🔁M. Wdowiakout: A. Czerwinski
🔁Q. Boisgardout: O. Maziarz
82'
🔁L. Sancaout: M. Kucharski
82'
84'
🔁M. Kowalczykout: J. Kokosinski
⚽H. Vallejoassist: M. Kucharski
85'
87'
Lukas Klemenz
90+1'
Alan Czerwiński

Match stats — Piast Gliwice vs GKS Katowice

56%Possession44%
11Shots21
7On target4
3Corners8
0.87xG1.55

Goals against chances

Piast Gliwice3 from 0.87 xGmore than the chances were worth
GKS Katowice0 from 1.55 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Piast Gliwice 4-4-2
  • 75D. GrilG
  • 99E. TwumasiD
  • 5JuandeD
  • 4J. CzerwinskiD
  • 36J. LewickiD
  • 90I. LimaM
  • 27J. LabojkoM
  • 17Q. BoisgardM
  • 80H. VallejoM
  • 19S. NtamackF
  • 11L. SancaF
Substitutes
  • 12M. Mendes-DudzinskiG
  • 47J. GrelichG
  • 28F. BorowskiD
  • 3E. FikajD
  • 15L. PitanD
  • 77S. MuchaM
  • 31O. LesniakM
  • 18O. MaziarzM
  • 10A. KatsantonisF
Coach: Daniel Mysliwiec
GKS Katowice 3-4-3
  • 87G. KobylakG
  • 6L. KlemenzD
  • 4A. JedrychD
  • 55P. RestaD
  • 97E. JirkaM
  • 77M. KowalczykM
  • 68B. WolskiM
  • 7M. WdowiakM
  • 15E. MarkovicF
  • 17I. ShkurinF
  • 27B. NowakF
Substitutes
  • 1M. KikolskiG
  • 30A. CzerwinskiD
  • 14M. Olsen
  • 10M. WedrychowskiM
  • 31S. BartlewiczM
  • 26D. RasakM
  • 22S. MilewskiM
  • 23M. WasielewskiD
  • 19K. LukasiakM
Coach: Rafal Gorak

Form going into Piast Gliwice vs GKS Katowice

Piast Gliwice

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0away to Motor Lublin29 August 2026
  • D1-1Legia Warszawa22 August 2026
  • L3-4Wieczysta Kraków15 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Lech Poznan9 August 2026
  • W4-3Wisla Krakow1 August 2026

GKS Katowice

All competitions we cover

  • W3-2away to Gornik Zabrze30 August 2026
  • W5-0Wisla Plock23 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Motor Lublin16 August 2026
  • W2-1Hapoel Tel Aviv12 August 2026
  • W2-1Wieczysta Kraków9 August 2026

What these results say

  • Piast Gliwice scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Piast Gliwice conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • GKS Katowice won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • GKS Katowice scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • GKS Katowice conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Piast Gliwice146442420+422
8GKS Katowice147072520+521

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Piast Gliwice vs GKS Katowice

  • 1 July 2026GKS Katowice 0–1 Piast GliwiceFriendlies Clubs
  • 10 May 2026Piast Gliwice 0–0 GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa
  • 8 November 2025GKS Katowice 1–3 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
  • 16 February 2025GKS Katowice 0–0 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
  • 12 August 2024Piast Gliwice 2–2 GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa

Leading scorers: Piast Gliwice and GKS Katowice

Piast Gliwice

GoalsAssists

  • Hugo Vallejo51

GKS Katowice

GoalsAssists

  • I. Shkurin82
  • B. Nowak78

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Piast Gliwice beat GKS Katowice 3–0. The model had made a win for Piast Gliwice its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: L. Sanca 5' for Piast Gliwice, Juande 35' for Piast Gliwice, H. Vallejo 85' for Piast Gliwice. On expected goals it finished 0.87–1.55.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.