21 October 2026, 15:30 UTC

PK-35 vs FF Jaro Finnish Premier League prediction & result

Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki
Full time1 – 1

Final score: PK-35 1-1 FF Jaro.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% PK-35, 26% draw, 25% FF Jaro — fair odds of 2.04, 3.85 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

PK-35 at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

PK-355%Draw92%FF Jaro3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Shunta Uchiyamaassist: Jasper pikkuhookana
2'
27'
⚽Jim Myrevikassist: Jesper Svenungsen Skau
45'
🔁Jesper Svenungsen Skauout: Adam Vidjeskog
🔁Irfan Sadikout: Pedro Miguel Cascalhais Diniz
59'
64'
🔁Kaius Hardénout: Linus Zetterstrom
64'
🔁Ville Vuorinenout: Joni Remesaho
72'
Jonathan Lawson
72'
🔁Aron Bjonbackout: Mats Pedersen
🔁Jasper pikkuhookanaout: Emu Kawakita
81'
Ayuub Ahmed-Nur
86'
89'
🔁Jonathan Lawsonout: Joas Vikstrom
🔁Ayuub Ahmed-Nurout: Joona Tapani
89'
🔁Eino-Iivari Pitkäläout: liam lokake
90'

Match stats — PK-35 vs FF Jaro

46%Possession54%
14Shots16
3On target3
5Corners5
0.68xG1.31

Goals against chances

PK-351 from 0.68 xGabout what the chances were worth
FF Jaro1 from 1.31 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

PK-35 4-4-2
  • 1A. RamulaG
  • 3A. ForsströmD
  • 34T. AndbergD
  • 2R. SipiD
  • 21K. RasanenD
  • 27Ayuub Ahmed-NurM
  • 8Joao CostaM
  • 88J. PikkuhookanaM
  • 23S. UchiyamaM
  • 18E. PitkalaF
  • 9I. SadikF
Substitutes
  • 22L. LokakeD
  • 14E. KawakitaM
  • 15J. TapaniM
  • 19M. TolonenM
  • 10O. SalmensuuF
  • 4Ayuub AbdiM
  • 7Pedro DinizF
  • 25A. KivelaG
  • 24N. NdaziramiyeM
Coach: Tiago Santos
FF Jaro 4-4-2
  • 1S. VitsG
  • 5A. BjonbäckD
  • 6J. BrunellD
  • 47M. OgungbaroD
  • 15F. Østigård NessD
  • 29J. MyrevikM
  • 27G. KocsisM
  • 66J. SkauM
  • 11K. HardénM
  • 23Jonathan LawsonF
  • 99V. VuorinenF
Substitutes
  • 16A. VidjeskogM
  • 30V. LofsM
  • 24J. RemesahoF
  • 9L. ZetterströmF
  • 13J. VikstromF
  • 12M. PedersenM
  • 8Oliver Kass KawoM
  • 19T. SoderstromD
  • 31Joas SnellmanG
Coach: Jens Karlsson

Form going into PK-35 vs FF Jaro

PK-35

No earlier matches on record this season.

FF Jaro

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Mariehamn17 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Turku PS10 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Lahti18 September 2026
  • D1-1SJK12 September 2026
  • L0-2away to Ilves8 September 2026

What these results say

  • Every one of these 5 matches for FF Jaro had two goals or fewer.
  • FF Jaro failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • FF Jaro scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: PK-35 vs FF Jaro

  • 28 September 2024PK-35 0–1 FF JaroYkkösliiga
  • 17 July 2024PK-35 2–1 FF JaroYkkösliiga
  • 19 May 2024FF Jaro 2–1 PK-35Ykkösliiga
  • 16 July 2022PK-35 0–4 FF JaroYkkönen
  • 15 May 2022FF Jaro 4–0 PK-35Ykkönen
  • 13 March 2022PK-35 0–0 FF JaroYkköscup

The result against the call

PK-35 and FF Jaro drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for PK-35 at 49% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Shunta Uchiyama 2' for PK-35, Jim Myrevik 27' for FF Jaro. On expected goals it finished 0.68–1.31.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.