Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs Club Africain Ligue 1 prediction & result
Final score: Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 0-0 Club Africain.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer, 29% draw, 32% Club Africain — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Ligue 1 (Tunisia) predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 3B. Mouelhi
- 4O. Charfeddine
- 5B. I. Bationo
- 9M. Omri
- 10L. Bouraoui
- 18A. Jaouadi
- 22M. Laajili
- 25F. Ajroudi
- 26A. Azzaza
- 34H. Rebaii
- 44A. Chouaya
- 7H. Ben Ameur
- 13F. Derguech
- 19Z. Aloui
- 20A. Njah
- 21W. Attig
- 28N. Atoui
- 29H. Sellami
- 33Y. Touj
- 35P. Diop
- 1A. Chamakh
- 3G. Mahersi
- 4Y. Bouabid
- 7H. Khadhraoui
- 8A. Kante
- 18P. Kinzumbi
- 32O. Elsharimi
- 33H. Ben Ali
- 35R. El Djebali
- 36I. Simpara
- 40S. Kadida
- 10M. Mahmoud
- 11O. Bouguerra
- 16G. Yeferni
- 17G. Zaalouni
- 25R. Ebene Tetego
- 29H. Mnasri
- 30M. Zaddem
- 34T. Nkeng
- 37M. Ali Chouchene
Form going into Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs Club Africain
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
Ligue 1
- L0-1away to US Monastirienne18 October 2026
- W1-0CS Sfaxien10 October 2026
- D1-1away to Olympique Béja13 September 2026
- W1-0CS Hammam-Lif5 September 2026
Club Africain
Ligue 1
- L1-2away to Stade Tunisien3 November 2026
- W3-2CA Bizertin29 October 2026
- L1-2away to US Ben Guerdane10 October 2026
- W1-0ES Zarzis20 September 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 4 matches for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer had two goals or fewer.
- Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Club Africain scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Club Africain conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Club Africain had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Tunisia Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 4 | Club Africain | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
The result against the call
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer and Club Africain drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer at 39% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer a 16.9% chance to finish in the top two: 24.8% after a win, 13.5% after a draw, 8.1% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 13.5%, 3.4 points lower than before the match.
For Club Africain the question was the chance to finish in the top two, 30.1% going in: 43.4% after a win, 27.4% after a draw, 20.4% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 27.4%, 2.7 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Ligue 1 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer v Club Africain has moved
First published on 10 Oct at 29% / 31% / 40% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 8 updates, it read 39% / 29% / 32%: the biggest move is Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer's chance of winning, up 10 points.
- Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer win39%▲ +10
- Draw29%▼ −2
- Club Africain win32%▼ −8
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.