Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Super League prediction & result
Final score: Qingdao Youth Island 0-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Qingdao Youth Island, 29% draw, 16% Chongqing Tongliang Long — fair odds of 1.82, 3.45 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Qingdao Youth Island at 55% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
Line-ups
- 16Hao LiG
- 19Yu DongD
- 5Samir MemisevicD
- 2Bruno VianaD
- 22Gengrui WangD
- 28Chengdong ZhangM
- 10Nelson LuzM
- 8Xiuwei ZhangM
- 30Yang ZhanpengM
- 11DavidsonM
- 9AzizF
- 25Xinli PengM
- 20Longhai HeM
- 21Jingchao MengM
- 4Elnizar LohmanD
- 26Shibo LiuG
- 15Peng WangD
- 36Jie SunD
- 35Song NanM
- 18Barak BraunshtainM
- 1Haoyang YaoG
- 24Mingshi LiuD
- 4Ruijie YueD
- 32Michael NgadeuD
- 33LucãoD
- 26Xiaoqiang HeD
- 9Alexandru CîmpanuM
- 16Zhixiong ZhangM
- 8Zhenquan LiM
- 18Weipeng LiangM
- 19Du YuezhengF
- 7Yuwang XiangF
- 11Nany DimataF
- 3Zhang YingkaiD
- 27Yongqiang WuM
- 31Wu ZitongG
- 6Pengxiang JinD
- 37Wei SuoweiD
- 38Qilong RuanD
- 21Jiale LiuM
Form going into Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
Qingdao Youth Island
- D0-0away to Henan Jianye9 August 2026
Chongqing Tongliang Long
- L2-3SHANGHAI SIPG9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Qingdao Youth Island | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 38 |
| 9 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
- 21 July 2026Chongqing Tongliang Long 2–0 Qingdao Youth IslandFA Cup
- 26 April 2026Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–1 Qingdao Youth IslandSuper League
Leading scorers: Qingdao Youth Island and Chongqing Tongliang Long
Qingdao Youth Island
- Davidson9 goals4 assists
Chongqing Tongliang Long
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 27 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.