Wuhan Three Towns vs SHANGHAI SIPG Super League prediction & result
Final score: Wuhan Three Towns 2-3 SHANGHAI SIPG.
Before kick-off the model made it 64% Wuhan Three Towns, 20% draw, 16% SHANGHAI SIPG — fair odds of 1.56, 5.00 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Wuhan Three Towns at 64% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Wuhan Three Towns vs SHANGHAI SIPG
Line-ups
- 22Jingqi FangG
- 23Ming TianD
- 2Guan HeD
- 11Ang LiD
- 4Xu HaofengD
- 50Antoine LeauteyM
- 18Xiaobing ZhangM
- 20Adriano FirminoM
- 10Kilian BevisM
- 7Gustavo SauerF
- 29Jhonder CádizF
- 15Zhechao ChenD
- 21Jizheng XiongM
- 6Wei LongM
- 8Jinxian WangM
- 31Guo JiayuG
- 19Yiming LiuD
- 13Kaimu ZhengM
- 9Zheng HaoqianF
- 16MinM
- 1Yan JunlingG
- 22Xi YangD
- 13Zhen WeiD
- 40Yusup UmidjanD
- 28Yue XinD
- 23Fu HuanM
- 10Mateus VitalM
- 7Wu LeiM
- 21Óscar MelendoM
- 17Prince AmpemM
- 45LeonardoF
- 32Shuai LiD
- 3Guangtai JiangD
- 8Jean Claude AziangbeD
- 33Liu ZhurunF
- 5Zhang LinpengD
- 12Chen WeiG
- 19Wang ZhenaoD
- 4Wang ShenchaoD
- 47Kuai JiwenF
Form going into Wuhan Three Towns vs SHANGHAI SIPG
Wuhan Three Towns
No earlier matches on record this season.
SHANGHAI SIPG
- W3-2away to Chongqing Tongliang Long9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 21 |
| 7 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 33 | +7 | 33 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Wuhan Three Towns vs SHANGHAI SIPG
- 25 April 2026SHANGHAI SIPG 4–0 Wuhan Three TownsSuper League
- 26 September 2025SHANGHAI SIPG 3–2 Wuhan Three TownsSuper League
- 5 May 2025Wuhan Three Towns 0–2 SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League
- 25 June 2024Wuhan Three Towns 0–2 SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League
- 1 March 2024SHANGHAI SIPG 3–1 Wuhan Three TownsSuper League
- 12 July 2023SHANGHAI SIPG 3–1 Wuhan Three TownsSuper League
Leading scorers: Wuhan Three Towns and SHANGHAI SIPG
Wuhan Three Towns
- J. Cádiz17 goals6 assists
SHANGHAI SIPG
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 40 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.