Cardiff sit 21st in the Championship on 4 points from 7 matches, having scored 7 and conceded 11. The model rates their attack at 0.72× the league average and their defence at 1.43× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 5 league matches they have 2 draws and 3 defeats, most recently losing to Bolton 0-1 away. That is 0.57 points a match, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.57 per game across 0 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats. That leaves them 10 points behind West Ham at the top, in a table of 24. Among the 24 rated sides in the division that is the 16th-best attack and the 22nd-best defence. They scored in 5 of those 5 and kept 2 clean sheets. Next they host Charlton in the Championship on 19 September 2026, a match the model gives them 40%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 14 |
| 2 | Swansea | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 14 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 14 |
| 4 | West Brom | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 | QPR | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 | Charlton | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Wolves | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 | Lincoln | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Southampton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 10 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 | Millwall | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Stoke City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Bristol City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Norwich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 |
| 17 | Watford | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| 19 | Wrexham | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
| 20 | Bolton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 |
| 22 | Derby | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
| 23 | Preston | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 |
| 24 | Burnley | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
Cardiff sit 21 of 24, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L0-1away to Bolton12 September 2026
- D1-1Stoke City8 September 2026
- L0-2away to Portsmouth5 September 2026
- L1-2away to QPR2 September 2026
- D2-2Sheffield Utd29 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Cardiff vs Charlton
Cardiff host Charlton at Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff on 19 September 2026, 11:30 UTC. The model makes it 40% Cardiff, 29% draw and 31% Charlton, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.50 expected goals for Cardiff against 1.15. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Full preview and model analysis for Cardiff vs Charlton
Recent meetings with Charlton
- 30 June 2020Cardiff 0–0 CharltonChampionship
- 23 November 2019Charlton 2–2 CardiffChampionship
- 13 February 2016Charlton 0–0 CardiffChampionship
- 26 September 2015Cardiff 2–1 CharltonChampionship
- 7 March 2015Cardiff 1–2 CharltonChampionship
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.