28 October 2026, 14:00 UTC

Radnicki 1923 vs Železničar Pančevo Super Liga prediction & result

Čika Dača Stadium, Kragujevac
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Radnicki 1923 1-2 Železničar Pančevo.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Radnicki 1923, 29% draw, 38% Železničar Pančevo — fair odds of 3.03, 3.45 and 2.63.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Železničar Pančevo at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Radnicki 19230%Draw4%Železničar Pančevo96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

1'
Mamane Moustapha Amadou Sabo
18'
nikola djuricic
23'
⚽David Akpan Ankeyeassist: Janko Jevremovic
26'
⚽David Akpan Ankeye
🔁Mićo Kuzmanovićout: Bojica Nikčević
45'
🔁Miloš Ristićout: Semir Alic
45'
🔁Jovan Živkovićout: David Buchta
45'
58'
🔁Mamane Moustapha Amadou Saboout: Clement lhernault
58'
🔁Milos Pantovicout: Aleksa Kuljanin
58'
🔁David Akpan Ankeyeout: Kwaku Karikari
•Semir Alic
62'
⚽Nemanja Glavčić (pen)
63'
69'
Davorin Tošić
74'
🔁Davorin Tošićout: kristian sekularac
Jovan Ilic
75'
🔁Mohamed Cisseout: António Pina Gomes
80'
82'
Milos Pantovic
90'
Jovan miladinovic
90+4'
Clement lhernault
Semir Alic
90+5'

Match stats — Radnicki 1923 vs Železničar Pančevo

55%Possession45%
14Shots12
5On target4
8Corners5
2.08xG2.8

Goals against chances

Radnicki 19231 from 2.08 xGless than the chances were worth
Železničar Pančevo2 from 2.80 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Radnicki 1923 4-1-4-1
  • 1M. ŠahinovićG
  • 8M. KuzmanovićD
  • 6H. HiloD
  • 5Nikola MarjanovićD
  • 11I. BabićD
  • 80J. IlićM
  • 10M. CisséM
  • 27M. RistićM
  • 35N. GlavčićM
  • 70J. ŽivkovićM
  • 9U. SremčevićF
Substitutes
  • 99A. SuljićF
  • 29António Pina GomesF
  • 4N. MiličićD
  • 28S. AlićM
  • 7B. NikčevićD
  • 2M. MezghraniM
  • 25T. UdeD
  • 16Vanja TomićM
  • 40S. BorovinaF
Coach: Fedja Dudic
Železničar Pančevo 4-1-4-1
  • 66J. MiladinovićG
  • 12A. YusifD
  • 6M. MilikićD
  • 63S. ObradovićD
  • 33N. ĐuričićD
  • 26M. Amadou SaboM
  • 95S. PlavšićM
  • 20J. JevremovićM
  • 14D. TosicM
  • 27M. PantovićM
  • 21D. AnkeyeF
Substitutes
  • 4Billy GeeD
  • 90K. KwakuF
  • 17A. KuljaninF
  • 88C. LhernaultM
  • 80S. MitrovićM
  • 47Yassin SbaiF
  • 99M. StevanovicG
  • 77K. ŠekularacM
  • 22Nemanja ZarićM
Coach: R. Koković

Form going into Radnicki 1923 vs Železničar Pančevo

Radnicki 1923

Super Liga

  • W1-0Radnik Surdulica23 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Vojvodina17 October 2026

Železničar Pančevo

Super Liga

  • W1-0away to IMT Novi Beograd23 October 2026
  • W1-0FK Partizan18 October 2026
  • W3-0away to Zemun11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serbia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Radnicki 1923157262219+323
3Železničar Pančevo149232412+1229

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Radnicki 1923 vs Železničar Pančevo

  • 29 November 2025Železničar Pančevo 1–0 Radnicki 1923Super Liga
  • 27 July 2025Radnicki 1923 1–1 Železničar PančevoSuper Liga
  • 24 November 2024Železničar Pančevo 1–1 Radnicki 1923Super Liga
  • 19 July 2024Radnicki 1923 2–3 Železničar PančevoSuper Liga
  • 13 March 2024Radnicki 1923 3–0 Železničar PančevoSuper Liga
  • 1 October 2023Železničar Pančevo 0–2 Radnicki 1923Super Liga

Leading scorers: Radnicki 1923 and Železničar Pančevo

Radnicki 1923

GoalsAssists

  • U. Sremčević61
  • M. Cissé42

Železničar Pančevo

GoalsAssists

  • D. Ankeye50
  • K. Kwaku42

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Železničar Pančevo won 2–1 at Radnicki 1923. The model had made a win for Železničar Pančevo its most likely outcome, at 38%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: David Akpan Ankeye 23' for Železničar Pančevo, David Akpan Ankeye 26' for Železničar Pančevo, Nemanja Glavčić (penalty) 63' for Radnicki 1923. On expected goals it finished 2.08–2.80.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Radnicki 1923 a 79.8% chance to finish in the top six: 86.9% after a win, 79.7% after a draw, 74.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 74.2%, 5.6 points lower than before the match.

For Železničar Pančevo the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 96.5% going in: 98.7% after a win, 96.3% after a draw, 95.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 98.7%, 2.2 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.