31 October 2026, 17:00 UTC

Podbrezová vs Slovan Bratislava Super Liga prediction & result

ZELPO Arena, Podbrezova
Referee: Lukas Dzivjak, Slovakia
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Podbrezová 1-2 Slovan Bratislava.

Before kick-off the model made it 27% Podbrezová, 26% draw, 47% Slovan Bratislava — fair odds of 3.70, 3.85 and 2.13.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Slovan Bratislava at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Podbrezová0%Draw4%Slovan Bratislava96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

41'
⚽T. Barseghyanassist: N. Marcelli
S. Tijani
48'
54'
⚽R. Ibrahim
⚽O. Demlassist: S. Stefanik
62'
65'
🔁N. Marcelliout: S. Camara
65'
🔁A. Gajdosout: A. Mustafic
🔁M. Khyminetsout: K. Miljanic
66'
🔁S. Stefanikout: V. Chyla
66'
74'
🔁A. Sporarout: A. Griger
74'
🔁R. Ibrahimout: C. Martinez
R. Paraj
83'
B. Mrvaljevic
84'
🔁B. Mrvaljevicout: V. Janos
86'
86'
🔁T. Barseghyanout: C. Blackman
🔁O. Demlout: A. Amoafo
87'
🔁P. Kovacikout: S. Saidy
90+3'
J. Luka
90+3'

Match stats — Podbrezová vs Slovan Bratislava

47%Possession53%
15Shots14
6On target7
4Corners5
1.17xG1.98

Goals against chances

Podbrezová1 from 1.17 xGabout what the chances were worth
Slovan Bratislava2 from 1.98 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Podbrezová
  • 70L. Domanisky
  • 15R. Paraj
  • 37J. Luka
  • 25R. Kejval
  • 14M. Khyminets
  • 77P. Kovacik
  • 26S. Stefanik
  • 6S. Tijani
  • 8O. Deml
  • 9M. Chrien
  • 11B. Mrvaljevic
Substitutes
  • 41I. Rehak
  • 44M. Oravec
  • 19S. Saidy
  • 13V. Chyla
  • 33M. Duraj
  • 30V. Janos
  • 27K. Miljanic
  • 17A. Amoafo
Coach: Stefan Markulik
Slovan Bratislava
  • 1A. Popovic
  • 88D. Matsuoka
  • 12K. Bajric
  • 6K. Wimmer
  • 57S. Cruz
  • 3P. Pokorny
  • 11T. Barseghyan
  • 5R. Ibrahim
  • 8A. Gajdos
  • 10N. Marcelli
  • 99A. Sporar
Substitutes
  • 71D. Takac
  • 2S. Kozlovsky
  • 15S. Markovic
  • 28C. Blackman
  • 70C. Martinez
  • 20A. Mustafic
  • 30A. Griger
  • 21S. Camara
  • 19M. Kianga
Coach: Yaya Toure

Form going into Podbrezová vs Slovan Bratislava

Podbrezová

Super Liga

  • W4-1away to Zemplín Michalovce24 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Dukla Banská Bystrica18 October 2026
  • L1-3Spartak Trnava11 October 2026

Slovan Bratislava

Super Liga

  • W2-0away to AS Trencin28 October 2026
  • D2-2Dukla Banská Bystrica24 October 2026
  • W3-0away to Spartak Trnava17 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Slovakia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Podbrezová146262324-120
2Slovan Bratislava148423215+1728

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Podbrezová vs Slovan Bratislava

  • 1 August 2026Slovan Bratislava 3–0 PodbrezováSuper Liga
  • 9 May 2026Podbrezová 1–2 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
  • 22 March 2026Slovan Bratislava 2–0 PodbrezováSuper Liga
  • 1 November 2025Podbrezová 1–3 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
  • 2 August 2025Slovan Bratislava 4–1 PodbrezováSuper Liga
  • 10 May 2025Podbrezová 1–3 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga

Leading scorers: Podbrezová and Slovan Bratislava

Podbrezová

GoalsAssists

  • B. Mrvaljević40
  • M. Chrien40
  • R. Šiler30

Slovan Bratislava

GoalsAssists

  • T. Barseghyan42
  • Tag Eldin Ibrahim40
  • Manasse Kianga22

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Slovan Bratislava won 2–1 at Podbrezová. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Slovan Bratislava at 47%. The goals: T. Barseghyan 41' for Slovan Bratislava, R. Ibrahim 54' for Slovan Bratislava, O. Deml 62' for Podbrezová. On expected goals it finished 1.17–1.98.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Podbrezová a 76.8% chance to finish in the top six: 87.7% after a win, 79.4% after a draw, 71.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 71.5%, 5.3 points lower than before the match.

For Slovan Bratislava the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 4.7% going in: 6.1% after a win, 3.3% after a draw, 2.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 6.1%, 1.4 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.