31 October 2026, 14:30 UTC

AS Trencin vs FK Košice Super Liga prediction & result

Štadión na Sihoti, Trencin
Referee: Michal Očenáš, Slovakia
Full time0 – 5

Final score: AS Trencin 0-5 FK Košice.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% AS Trencin, 26% draw, 40% FK Košice — fair odds of 2.94, 3.85 and 2.50.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FK Košice at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

AS Trencin0%Draw1%FK Košice99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

2'
⚽M. Madlenakassist: A. Maras
5'
⚽M. Rehusassist: A. Maras
⚽Eynel Soares (pen)assist: Eynel Soares
9'
18'
⚽M. Sovicassist: M. Rehus
N. Jovanovic
21'
C. Ansah
33'
🔁M. Poomout: F. Kasana
46'
46'
🔁M. Sovicout: M. Mateas
🔁R. Sanusiout: D. Kam
46'
53'
⚽O. Kakayassist: M. Madlenak
🔁L. Skovajsaout: J. Mulder
55'
🔁N. Jovanovicout: H. Pavek
56'
🔁D. Kamout: D. Jepihhin
57'
64'
🔁M. Madlenakout: L. Lukacevic
65'
🔁A. Marasout: A. Kahvic
69'
⚽A. Kahvic
76'
🔁M. Rehusout: M. Rabatin
78'
D. Magda
81'
🔁D. Gallovicout: K. Palumets

Match stats — AS Trencin vs FK Košice

59%Possession41%
21Shots14
5On target7
4Corners2
2.8xG3.3

Goals against chances

AS Trencin0 from 2.80 xGless than the chances were worth
FK Košice5 from 3.30 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

AS Trencin
  • 1A. Katic
  • 2N. Jovanovic
  • 33R. Krizan
  • 29L. Bessile
  • 25L. Skovajsa
  • 18M. Poom
  • 14R. Sanusi
  • 8T. Hajovsky
  • 16C. Ansah
  • 7Eynel Soares
  • 21L. Mikulaj
Substitutes
  • 30M. Slavicek
  • 13J. Mulder
  • 90H. Pavek
  • 22D. Jepihhin
  • 5F. Kasana
  • 10D. Kam
  • 27F. Slovak
Coach: Marek Danovsky
FK Košice
  • 22M. Kira
  • 29O. Kakay
  • 21D. Magda
  • 31T. Moore
  • 66B. Damjanovic
  • 23M. Madlenak
  • 77M. Rehus
  • 6F. Lichy
  • 8D. Gallovic
  • 15M. Sovic
  • 99A. Maras
Substitutes
  • 33F. Kalanin
  • 47L. Lukacevic
  • 18T. Durko
  • 7M. Dimun
  • 80K. Palumets
  • 44M. Mateas
  • 9T. Seguchi
  • 30A. Kahvic
  • 27M. Rabatin
Coach: Peter Cernak

Form going into AS Trencin vs FK Košice

AS Trencin

Super Liga

  • L0-2Slovan Bratislava28 October 2026
  • D0-0away to Komárno25 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Skalica17 October 2026

FK Košice

Super Liga

  • L0-1Dunajska Streda28 October 2026
  • D2-2Žilina25 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Zemplín Michalovce18 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Slovakia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12AS Trencin142481430-1610
6FK Košice144643226+618

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: AS Trencin vs FK Košice

  • 1 August 2026FK Košice 3–3 AS TrencinSuper Liga
  • 16 May 2026AS Trencin 3–0 FK KošiceSuper Liga
  • 7 March 2026FK Košice 2–0 AS TrencinSuper Liga
  • 8 November 2025AS Trencin 2–0 FK KošiceSuper Liga
  • 10 August 2025FK Košice 0–1 AS TrencinSuper Liga
  • 2 November 2024FK Košice 0–0 AS TrencinSuper Liga

Leading scorers: AS Trencin and FK Košice

AS Trencin

No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.

FK Košice

GoalsAssists

  • Aleksa Maraš63
  • M. Sovič23
  • O. Kakay21

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FK Košice won 5–0 at AS Trencin. The model had made a win for FK Košice its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: M. Madlenak 2' for FK Košice, M. Rehus 5' for FK Košice, M. Sovic 18' for FK Košice, O. Kakay 53' for FK Košice, A. Kahvic 69' for FK Košice. On expected goals it finished 2.80–3.30.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave AS Trencin a 69.5% chance to finish in the bottom three: 57.3% after a win, 71.4% after a draw, 79.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 79.4%, 9.9 points higher than before the match.

For FK Košice the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 60.0% going in: 71.3% after a win, 56.5% after a draw, 48.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 71.3%, 11.3 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on AS Trencin v FK Košice has moved

First published on 17 Oct at 33% / 25% / 42% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 34% / 26% / 40%: the biggest move is FK Košice's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. AS Trencin win34%▲ +1
  2. Draw26%▲ +1
  3. FK Košice win40%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.