29 August 2026, 11:00 UTC

1. FC Heidenheim vs Dynamo Dresden 2. Bundesliga prediction & result

Voith-Arena, Heidenheim
Full time5 – 3

Final score: 1. FC Heidenheim 5-3 Dynamo Dresden.

Before kick-off the model made it 62% 1. FC Heidenheim, 22% draw, 16% Dynamo Dresden — fair odds of 1.61, 4.55 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts 1. FC Heidenheim at 62% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into 1. FC Heidenheim vs Dynamo Dresden

1. FC Heidenheim

  • L1-4away to Hertha BSC15 August 2026
  • W4-3VfL Osnabrück8 August 2026

Dynamo Dresden

  • W1-0SV Darmstadt 9816 August 2026
  • L0-3away to 1. FC Nürnberg9 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

2. Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
31. FC Heidenheim54011210+212
17Dynamo Dresden5113712-54

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: 1. FC Heidenheim vs Dynamo Dresden

  • 29 June 2022Dynamo Dresden 0–1 FC HeidenheimFriendlies Clubs
  • 18 February 2022Dynamo Dresden 1–1 FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
  • 12 September 2021FC Heidenheim 2–1 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
  • 2 February 2020FC Heidenheim 0–0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
  • 18 August 2019Dynamo Dresden 2–1 FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
  • 2 February 2019FC Heidenheim 1–0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga

Leading scorers: 1. FC Heidenheim and Dynamo Dresden

1. FC Heidenheim

  • J. Schöppner3 goals

Dynamo Dresden

  • J. Sterner2 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.