1. FC Heidenheim vs Dynamo Dresden 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: 1. FC Heidenheim 5-3 Dynamo Dresden.
Before kick-off the model made it 62% 1. FC Heidenheim, 22% draw, 16% Dynamo Dresden — fair odds of 1.61, 4.55 and 6.25.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All 2. Bundesliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
1. FC Heidenheim at 62%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — 1. FC Heidenheim vs Dynamo Dresden
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 33T. DahneG
- 2M. BuschD
- 6P. MainkaD
- 19J. FohrenbachD
- 27M. HeuleD
- 24M. CostlyM
- 3J. SchoppnerM
- 20L. KerberM
- 17M. HonsakM
- 11B. ZivzivadzeF
- 29M. KaufmannF
- 1F. FellerG
- 4T. SierslebenD
- 23L. PaqaradaD
- 22O. MhamdiD
- 16J. NiehuesM
- 41M. ZrilicM
- 38Y. WagnerF
- 14M. BreunigF
- 8P. HennrichM
- 1T. SchreiberG
- 32J. SternerD
- 39T. KellerD
- 42F. MullerD
- 19A. RossipalD
- 18R. WagnerM
- 29L. BoederM
- 11K. InanogluM
- 27N. HauptmannM
- 20B. BobzienM
- 9V. VermeijF
- 40E. BethkeG
- 44S. StraudiD
- 17A. MuhamedbegovicD
- 14B. EzehD
- 21T. RaschlM
- 8L. HerrmannM
- 16N. FrolingF
- 25J. OehmichenM
- 10J. LemmerM
Form going into 1. FC Heidenheim vs Dynamo Dresden
1. FC Heidenheim
All competitions we cover
- L1-4away to Hertha BSC15 August 2026
- W4-3VfL Osnabrück8 August 2026
Dynamo Dresden
All competitions we cover
- W1-0SV Darmstadt 9816 August 2026
- L0-3away to 1. FC Nürnberg9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Dynamo Dresden | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: 1. FC Heidenheim vs Dynamo Dresden
- 29 June 2022Dynamo Dresden 0–1 FC HeidenheimFriendlies Clubs
- 18 February 2022Dynamo Dresden 1–1 FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
- 12 September 2021FC Heidenheim 2–1 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
- 2 February 2020FC Heidenheim 0–0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
- 18 August 2019Dynamo Dresden 2–1 FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
- 2 February 2019FC Heidenheim 1–0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
The result against the call
1. FC Heidenheim beat Dynamo Dresden 5–3. The model had made a win for 1. FC Heidenheim its most likely outcome, at 62%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: V. Vermeij 30' for Dynamo Dresden, J. Schoppner 67' for 1. FC Heidenheim, R. Wagner 73' for Dynamo Dresden, F. Muller (own goal) 77' for 1. FC Heidenheim, O. Mhamdi 87' for 1. FC Heidenheim, J. Niehues 89' for 1. FC Heidenheim, M. Breunig 90' for 1. FC Heidenheim, J. Sterner 90' for Dynamo Dresden. Sent off: Thomas Keller (Dynamo Dresden) 69'. On expected goals it finished 3.24–1.52.