27 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

Radomlje vs Mura 1. SNL prediction & result

Referee: A. Bubek
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Radomlje 1-1 Mura.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% Radomlje, 24% draw, 27% Mura — fair odds of 2.04, 4.17 and 3.70.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Radomlje at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Radomlje7%Draw90%Mura3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

2'
•A. Zalaznik
8'
⚽A. Zeljkovic
36'
L. Bobicanec
40'
D. Oroian
🔁A. Paicout: A. Zabukovnik
46'
47'
M. Matic
N. Marinsek
48'
⚽N. Marinsekassist: D. Ikenna
50'
52'
•L. Bobicanec
🔁V. Pelkoout: S. Bangura
65'
68'
L. Bobicanec
68'
L. Bobicanec
A. Zabukovnik
70'
75'
🔁M. Ascicout: R. Caks
75'
🔁D. Oroianout: F. Sana
76'
A. Korosec
78'
🔁A. Zalaznikout: Z. Petrovic
81'
A. Zeljkovic
S. Bangura
81'
B. Anzelj
84'
🔁N. Marinsekout: D. Kantuzer
84'
J. Martincic
87'
90+6'
🔁N. Kouterout: I. Jelic

Form going into Radomlje vs Mura

Radomlje

1. SNL

  • D2-2away to Bravo17 October 2026
  • D3-3Koper10 October 2026

Mura

1. SNL

  • D0-0Nafta17 October 2026
  • D3-3away to Olimpija Ljubljana10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

1. SNL table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Radomlje141581631-158
9Mura152851526-1114

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Radomlje vs Mura

  • 10 August 2026Mura 1–3 Radomlje1. SNL
  • 22 May 2026Radomlje 3–2 Mura1. SNL
  • 21 March 2026Mura 2–0 Radomlje1. SNL
  • 6 December 2025Radomlje 3–1 Mura1. SNL
  • 21 September 2025Mura 0–0 Radomlje1. SNL
  • 3 May 2025Radomlje 2–0 Mura1. SNL

The result against the call

Radomlje and Mura drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Radomlje at 49% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: A. Zeljkovic 8' for Mura, N. Marinsek 50' for Radomlje. Sent off: L. Bobicanec (Mura) 68'.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Radomlje a 40.5% chance to finish in the bottom one: 33.9% after a win, 44.5% after a draw, 49.7% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 44.5%, 4 points higher than before the match.

For Mura the question was the chance to finish in the bottom one, 27.0% going in: 17.3% after a win, 24.8% after a draw, 31.5% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 24.8%, 2.2 points lower than before the match.

Read from our 1. SNL season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.