9 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

Rangers vs Hibernian Premiership prediction & result

Ibrox Stadium, Glasgow
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Rangers 1-2 Hibernian.

Before kick-off the model made it 67% Rangers, 18% draw, 15% Hibernian — fair odds of 1.49, 5.56 and 6.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Rangers at 67% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

10'
•Thibault Klidjé
Vanja Dragojević
11'
12'
⚽J. Campbell (pen)
🔁Chermitiout: R. Naderi
36'
46'
Ante Šuto
🔁V. Dragojevicout: M. Diomande
46'
57'
🔁T. Klidjeout: N. Lowe
57'
🔁A. Sutoout: J. McGrath
57'
🔁J. Campbellout: C. Wright
🔁N. Raskinout: T. Aasgaard
68'
🔁D. Yokotaout: D. Gassama
68'
76'
🔁K. Megwaout: F. Passlack
🔁F. Curtisout: R. McCrorie
79'
⚽M. Chaiwa (OG)
85'
90'
🔁A. Mayorout: O. Elding
90'
⚽C. Wrightassist: N. Lowe

Match stats — Rangers vs Hibernian

76%Possession24%
25Shots8
9On target2
7Corners3
2.05xG1.74

Goals against chances

Rangers1 from 2.05 xGless than the chances were worth
Hibernian2 from 1.74 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Rangers 4-4-2
  • 1I. PandurG
  • 22V. DragojevicD
  • 24O. MakhanyaD
  • 37E. FernandezD
  • 25T. RommensD
  • 17D. YokotaM
  • 14C. DevlinM
  • 43N. RaskinM
  • 52F. CurtisM
  • 7L. ShanklandF
  • 9ChermitiF
Substitutes
  • 31L. KellyG
  • 21D. SterlingD
  • 2R. McCrorieD
  • 10M. DiomandeM
  • 11T. AasgaardM
  • 20R. NaderiF
  • 23D. GassamaF
  • 6D. NeilM
  • 42T. ChukwuaniM
Coach: Derek McInnes
Hibernian 4-2-3-1
  • 1R. SallingerG
  • 27K. MegwaD
  • 5W. O'HoraD
  • 6J. KerrD
  • 21J. ObitaD
  • 8J. MulliganM
  • 14M. ChaiwaM
  • 22A. SutoM
  • 32J. CampbellM
  • 3A. MayorM
  • 18T. KlidjeF
Substitutes
  • 13J. SmithG
  • 11J. NewellM
  • 47A. AbdulaiM
  • 9N. LoweF
  • 25F. PasslackD
  • 17J. McGrathM
  • 23C. WrightM
  • 20R. Molotnikov
  • 7O. EldingF
Coach: David Gray

Form going into Rangers vs Hibernian

Rangers

  • L1-2away to Jagiellonia6 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Dundee United31 July 2026

Hibernian

  • W2-1Shkendija6 August 2026
  • L1-2Motherwell2 August 2026
  • W4-1Malisheva30 July 2026
  • L0-2away to Malisheva23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Rangers641174+313
9Hibernian6204710-36

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Rangers vs Hibernian

  • 9 August 2026Rangers 1–2 HibernianPremiership
  • 13 May 2026Rangers 1–2 HibernianPremiership
  • 1 February 2026Hibernian 0–0 RangersPremiership
  • 15 December 2025Rangers 1–0 HibernianPremiership
  • 29 October 2025Hibernian 0–1 RangersPremiership
  • 20 September 2025Rangers 2–0 HibernianLeague Cup

Leading scorers: Rangers and Hibernian

Rangers

  • L. Shankland3 goals

Hibernian

  • C. Wright2 goals
  • M. Boyle2 goals
  • N. Lowe1 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.