9 August 2026, 14:00 UTC

Zulte Waregem vs Genk Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Elindus Arena, Waregem
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Zulte Waregem 2-1 Genk.

Before kick-off the model made it 57% Zulte Waregem, 19% draw, 24% Genk — fair odds of 1.75, 5.26 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Zulte Waregem at 57% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Zulte Waregem95%Draw5%Genk0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

39'
⚽R. Durosinmiassist: J. Ito
42'
D. Heymans
A. Ementa
52'
61'
🔁R. Durosinmiout: A. Bibout
🔁I. Atrokout: N. Mituljikic
64'
72'
🔁Z. El Ouahdiout: C. Akpan
72'
🔁J. Kayembeout: Y. Medina
72'
🔁D. Heymansout: A. Yokoyama
🔁T. Hedlout: S. Ujka
76'
81'
J. Kongolo
⚽M. Ake
82'
86'
C. Akpan
⚽S. Ujkaassist: A. Ementa
86'
87'
🔁J. Erenbjergout: R. Mirisola
90+1'
Y. Medina
🔁W. Paugainout: F. Tangala
90+2'

Match stats — Zulte Waregem vs Genk

38%Possession62%
11Shots10
5On target3
6Corners3
0.51xG0.54

Goals against chances

Zulte Waregem2 from 0.51 xGmore than the chances were worth
Genk1 from 0.54 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Zulte Waregem 4-3-2-1
  • 1Louis BostynG
  • 12Wilguens PaugainD
  • 4Laurent LemoineD
  • 5Jakob KiilerichD
  • 55Yannick CappelleD
  • 8Thomas ClaesM
  • 6Enrique LofolomoM
  • 11Marley AkéM
  • 20Tobias HedlM
  • 21István ÁtrokM
  • 18Anosike EmentaF
Substitutes
  • 7Nikola MituljikićF
  • 36Serxho UjkaM
  • 49Franz TangalaM
  • 42Arnaud DobbelsG
  • 2Kadir SevenD
  • 3Anton TangheD
  • 25Tristan PanduroM
  • 53Kewan VembaF
  • 90Akpa Chukwu HemsleyF
Coach: Steve Colpaert
Genk 4-2-3-1
  • 28Lucca BrughmansG
  • 77Zakaria El OuahdiD
  • 24Nikolas SattlbergerD
  • 44Josue Ndenge KongoloD
  • 18Joris KayembeD
  • 21Ibrahima Sory BangouraM
  • 8Bryan HeynenM
  • 11Jeppe ErenbjergM
  • 38Daan HeymansM
  • 10Junya ItoM
  • 17Rafiu DurosinmiF
Substitutes
  • 23Aaron BiboutF
  • 65Christian AkpanD
  • 19Yaimar MedinaD
  • 30Ayumu YokoyamaF
  • 29Robin MirisolaF
  • 26Tobias LawalG
  • 6Matte SmetsD
  • 86Kenan HarounM
  • 56August De WannemackerM

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Zulte Waregem6321104+611
9Genk6231139+49

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Zulte Waregem vs Genk

  • 9 August 2026Zulte Waregem 2–1 GenkJupiler Pro League
  • 17 January 2026Zulte Waregem 2–1 GenkJupiler Pro League
  • 31 August 2025Genk 3–2 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
  • 14 January 2023Genk 1–0 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
  • 14 August 2022Zulte Waregem 1–4 GenkJupiler Pro League
  • 6 February 2022Genk 2–0 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League

Leading scorers: Zulte Waregem and Genk

Zulte Waregem

  • Á. Zalán3 goals
  • T. Hedl2 goals2 assists

Genk

  • R. Durosinmi5 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.