16 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Rapid Vienna vs Grazer AK Bundesliga prediction & result

Allianz Stadion, Vienna
Full time8 – 0

Final score: Rapid Vienna 8-0 Grazer AK.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Rapid Vienna, 27% draw, 31% Grazer AK — fair odds of 2.38, 3.70 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Rapid Vienna at 42% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Rapid Vienna99%Draw1%Grazer AK0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 8 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽E. Kara
5'
⚽E. Karaassist: J. Horn
12'
⚽T. Adamsen
14'
•Tonni Adamsen
15'
22'
Tobias Koch
41'
Alexander Hofleitner
⚽N. Cvetkovicassist: M. Seidl
42'
45+1'
Leon Klassen
⚽T. Adamsen
45'
46'
🔁A. Smitsout: I. Guerti
46'
🔁A. Hofleitnerout: D. Maderner
⚽Y. Demirassist: R. Amane
56'
58'
Donovan Pines
68'
🔁T. Kochout: P. Markovic
🔁R. Amaneout: N. Bajlicz
69'
🔁P. Dahlout: N. Wurmbrand
69'
⚽T. Adamsen
74'
🔁N. Cvetkovicout: J. M. Scholler
80'
🔁E. Karaout: M. Tilio
80'
🔁Y. Demirout: M. Haidara
84'
⚽T. Adamsenassist: M. Tilio
86'

Match stats — Rapid Vienna vs Grazer AK

72%Possession28%
27Shots9
17On target2
8Corners1
5.49xG0.76

Goals against chances

Rapid Vienna8 from 5.49 xGmore than the chances were worth
Grazer AK0 from 0.76 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Rapid Vienna 4-2-3-1
  • 1N. HedlG
  • 77B. BollaD
  • 55N. CvetkovicD
  • 6S. Raux-YaoD
  • 38J. HornD
  • 18M. SeidlM
  • 29R. AmaneM
  • 22Y. DemirM
  • 8T. AdamsenM
  • 10P. DahlM
  • 9E. KaraF
Substitutes
  • 25P. GartlerG
  • 23J. AuerD
  • 4J. M. SchollerD
  • 21L. SchaubM
  • 17T. GulliksenM
  • 30N. BajliczM
  • 15N. WurmbrandF
  • 7M. TilioF
  • 43M. HaidaraF
Coach: Johannes Thorup
Grazer AK 3-1-4-2
  • 23C. StankovicG
  • 82B. OwusuD
  • 2D. PinesD
  • 3L. VraaD
  • 6L. HermeshM
  • 48M. GraggerM
  • 8T. KochM
  • 34P. MichorlM
  • 32L. KlassenM
  • 7A. SmitsF
  • 25A. HofleitnerF
Substitutes
  • 1J. MeierhoferG
  • 72P. MarkovicD
  • 30C. HasenhuttlD
  • 17S. MandeyM
  • 11M. GrosseF
  • 10C. LichtenbergerM
  • 29I. GuertiM
  • 9D. MadernerF
  • 70N. F. Brown UgoM
Coach: Ferdinand Feldhofer

Form going into Rapid Vienna vs Grazer AK

Rapid Vienna

  • W2-1away to Ried9 August 2026

Grazer AK

  • W2-1Austria Lustenau8 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Rapid Vienna6501187+1115
7Grazer AK6213414-107

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Rapid Vienna vs Grazer AK

  • 16 August 2026Rapid Vienna 8–0 Grazer AKBundesliga
  • 23 November 2025Rapid Vienna 1–2 Grazer AKBundesliga
  • 21 September 2025Grazer AK 1–1 Rapid ViennaBundesliga
  • 16 March 2025Rapid Vienna 3–0 Grazer AKBundesliga
  • 27 October 2024Grazer AK 1–1 Rapid ViennaBundesliga

Leading scorers: Rapid Vienna and Grazer AK

Rapid Vienna

  • T. Adamsen4 goals1 assists
  • P. Dahl3 goals
  • Y. Demir2 goals2 assists

Grazer AK

  • A. Hofleitner2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.