WSG Wattens vs Red Bull Salzburg Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: WSG Wattens 0-3 Red Bull Salzburg.
Before kick-off the model made it 22% WSG Wattens, 23% draw, 55% Red Bull Salzburg — fair odds of 4.55, 4.35 and 1.82. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Red Bull Salzburg at 55% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — WSG Wattens vs Red Bull Salzburg
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Salko HamzićG
- 5Drew MurrayD
- 23Marco BorasD
- 14David KubattaD
- 18Husein BalićM
- 11Murat SatinM
- 6Marc StriednigM
- 32Raphael GschösserM
- 36Thomas GoigingerF
- 17Michael OlakigbeF
- 16Lukas HinterseerF
- 43Nemanja ČelićM
- 27David JauneggD
- 8Nikolai FrederiksenF
- 13Alexander EckmayrG
- 3David GugganigD
- 38Simon WieserM
- 39Giorgi BedianashviliD
- 15Mazou BambaraM
- 9Ademola Ola-AdebomiF
- 52Christian ZawieschitzkyG
- 39Leandro MorgallaD
- 21Tim DrexlerD
- 47Valentin ZabranskyD
- 13Frans KrätzigD
- 32Abubakr BarryM
- 14Maurits KjaergaardM
- 20Edmund BaidooM
- 19Karim KonatéM
- 23Damir RedzicM
- 11Yorbe VertessenF
- 18Nikolas VeratschnigD
- 8Sota KitanoF
- 15Bartosz MazurekM
- 33Aboubacar CamaraM
- 31Dominik SchmidD
- 1Christian FrüchtlG
- 44Kévin BomaD
- 4John MellbergD
- 9Haris TabakovićF
Form going into WSG Wattens vs Red Bull Salzburg
WSG Wattens
- L1-3away to SCR Altach7 August 2026
Red Bull Salzburg
- D1-1away to Wolfsberger AC9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | WSG Wattens | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | Red Bull Salzburg | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 4 | +11 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: WSG Wattens vs Red Bull Salzburg
- 16 August 2026WSG Wattens 0–3 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
- 23 November 2025Red Bull Salzburg 2–3 WSG WattensBundesliga
- 30 October 2025Red Bull Salzburg 3–1 WSG WattensCup
- 28 September 2025WSG Wattens 1–2 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
- 15 February 2025Red Bull Salzburg 1–1 WSG WattensBundesliga
- 30 October 2024Red Bull Salzburg 3–0 WSG WattensCup
Leading scorers: WSG Wattens and Red Bull Salzburg
WSG Wattens
- M. Olakigbe2 goals1 assists
Red Bull Salzburg
- K. Konaté4 goals
- H. Tabaković3 goals
- Y. Vertessen2 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.