Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander La Liga prediction & result
Final score: Rayo Vallecano 3-2 Racing Santander.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Rayo Vallecano, 27% draw, 31% Racing Santander — fair odds of 2.38, 3.70 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Rayo Vallecano at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander
Line-ups
- 1Dani CárdenasG
- 2A. RațiuD
- 24F. LejeuneD
- 6P. CissD
- 17Adrià PedrosaD
- 8Unai LópezM
- 23Óscar ValentínM
- 4Pedro DíazM
- 19Jorge de FrutosF
- 10Sergio CamelloF
- 18Álvaro GarcíaF
- 9AlemãoF
- 25E. AuderoG
- 20I. BalliuD
- 36G. BouareM
- 26Marco de las SíasD
- 22Pelayo FernándezD
- 11R. NtekaM
- 21Fran PérezF
- 15Mujaid SadickD
- 13Julen AgirrezabalaG
- 2Álvaro MantillaD
- 4Manu HernandoD
- 16Facundo GonzálezD
- 17Jorge SalinasD
- 23Iván MartínM
- 18M. PratiM
- 15Pablo GarcíaM
- 20Sergio CanalesM
- 10Iñigo VicenteM
- 21M. ZabiriF
- 24J. BelocianD
- 14M. GueyeM
- 7G. GuliashviliF
- 3Aarón MartínD
- 22Pedro FelipeD
- 38H. PerezF
- 5Pablo RamónD
- 6Íñigo Sainz-MazaM
- 12Asier VillalibreF
Form going into Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander
Rayo Vallecano
All competitions we cover
- L2-5away to Barcelona31 August 2026
- D1-1Alaves20 August 2026
- L1-2away to Sevilla15 August 2026
Racing Santander
All competitions we cover
- W3-2Elche28 August 2026
- L0-1away to Getafe23 August 2026
- D2-2Villarreal16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander
- 20 July 2020Racing Santander 1–2 Rayo VallecanoSegunda División
- 13 September 2019Rayo Vallecano 2–0 Racing SantanderSegunda División
- 3 March 2012Rayo Vallecano 4–2 Racing SantanderLa Liga
- 1 October 2011Racing Santander 1–1 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
Leading scorers: Rayo Vallecano and Racing Santander
Rayo Vallecano
GoalsAssists
- Sergio Camello72
Racing Santander
GoalsAssists
- M. Zabiri90
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Rayo Vallecano beat Racing Santander 3–2. The model had made a win for Rayo Vallecano its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Sergio Canales 4' for Racing Santander, Andrei Rațiu 17' for Rayo Vallecano, Pablo García 28' for Racing Santander, Sergio Camello 43' for Rayo Vallecano, Sergio Camello 47' for Rayo Vallecano. Sent off: Francisco Pérez Martínez (Rayo Vallecano) 85', Jorge De Frutos (Rayo Vallecano) 89'.