5 September 2026, 13:30 UTC

1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga prediction & result

PreZero Arena, Sinsheim
Full time2 – 3

Final score: 1899 Hoffenheim 2-3 Borussia Dortmund.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% 1899 Hoffenheim, 29% draw, 33% Borussia Dortmund — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts 1899 Hoffenheim at 38% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

32'
🔁Filippo Maneout: Ethan Nwaneri
Ozan Kabak
40'
⚽Leon Avdullahuassist: Vladimír Coufal
45'
Albian Hajdari
45+2'
45'
🔁Felix Nmechaout: Joey Veerman
⚽Tim Lemperleassist: Adam Daghim
54'
61'
⚽Serhou Guirassyassist: Waldemar Anton
62'
🔁Konstantinos Karetsasout: Fábio Silva
63'
🔁Kouakou Joane Gadouout: Luca Reggiani
Wouter Burger
63'
66'
⚽Fábio Silvaassist: Serhou Guirassy
🔁Adam Hložekout: Andrej Kramarić
73'
🔁Patrick Wimmerout: Bambasé Conté
73'
76'
Luca Reggiani
78'
Maximilian Beier
🔁Ozan Kabakout: Robin Hranáč
79'
🔁Wouter Burgerout: Nathan De Cat
79'
Andrej Kramarić
80'
🔁Tim Lemperleout: Max Moerstedt
84'
86'
⚽Albian Hajdari (OG)
87'
🔁Serhou Guirassyout: Marcel Sabitzer

Match stats — 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund

60%Possession40%
18Shots11
6On target4
10Corners3

Line-ups

1899 Hoffenheim 4-4-2
  • 1O. BaumannG
  • 34V. CoufalD
  • 5O. KabakD
  • 21A. HajdariD
  • 39M. RotsD
  • 8P. WimmerM
  • 7L. AvdullahuM
  • 18W. BurgerM
  • 14A. DaghimM
  • 10A. HložekF
  • 19T. LemperleF
Substitutes
  • 13BernardoD
  • 20B. ContéM
  • 17Nathan De CatM
  • 15V. GendreyD
  • 2R. HranáčD
  • 27A. KramarićF
  • 32Cajetan Benjamin LenzM
  • 9Max MoerstedtF
  • 37L. PhilippG
Coach: C. Ilzer
Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1
  • 1G. KobelG
  • 22Kouakou Joane GadouD
  • 3W. AntonD
  • 39F. ManéD
  • 26J. RyersonM
  • 7J. BellinghamM
  • 8F. NmechaM
  • 24D. SvenssonM
  • 19K. KaretsasM
  • 14M. BeierM
  • 9S. GuirassyF
Substitutes
  • 25J. VeermanM
  • 21Fábio SilvaF
  • 20M. SabitzerM
  • 49L. ReggianiD
  • 36Kauã PratesD
  • 18E. NwaneriM
  • 33A. MeyerG
  • 17C. ChukwuemekaM
  • 41M. AlbertF
Coach: N. Kovač

Form going into 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund

1899 Hoffenheim

  • L2-3away to 1. FC Köln29 August 2026

Borussia Dortmund

  • W2-0Hamburger SV29 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
131899 Hoffenheim310267-13
2Borussia Dortmund330082+69

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund

  • 5 September 20261899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
  • 18 April 20261899 Hoffenheim 2–1 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
  • 7 December 2025Borussia Dortmund 2–0 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
  • 26 April 20251899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
  • 15 December 2024Borussia Dortmund 1–1 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
  • 25 February 2024Borussia Dortmund 2–3 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga

Leading scorers: 1899 Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund

1899 Hoffenheim

  • A. Hložek2 goals

Borussia Dortmund

  • S. Guirassy2 goals2 assists
  • F. Nmecha2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.