Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna La Liga prediction & result
Final score: Villarreal 2-3 Deportivo La Coruna.
Before kick-off the model made it 54% Villarreal, 25% draw, 21% Deportivo La Coruna — fair odds of 1.85, 4.00 and 4.76.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Villarreal at 54%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna
Line-ups
- 1Luíz JúniorG
- 3A. FreemanD
- 2Logan CostaD
- 12Renato VeigaD
- 23Sergi CardonaD
- 19N. PépéM
- 24N. SalibaM
- 18P. GueyeM
- 10Alberto MoleiroM
- 7Gerard MorenoF
- 22Ayoze PérezF
- 11Ilias AkhomachF
- 17T. BuchananF
- 14Santi ComesañaM
- 5A. DiattaM
- 13Rubén GómezG
- 25P. GulácsiG
- 16C. MaciaM
- 9G. MikautadzeF
- 15S. MouriñoD
- 13Leo RománG
- 23Ximo NavarroD
- 4L. NoubiD
- 20J. GiménezD
- 12G. QuagliataD
- 19Luismi CruzM
- 21Mario SorianoM
- 16L. AmatucciM
- 14Riki RodríguezM
- 32B. NsongoF
- 7P. AubameyangF
- 18Jonathan Asp JensenM
- 6Marc CasadóM
- 9Z. EddahchouriF
- 22B. EdeD
- 25Álvaro FernándezG
- 34T. GijselhartM
- 10PekeF
- 15Miguel LoureiroD
- 11David MellaF
Form going into Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna
Villarreal
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Alaves28 August 2026
- D2-2away to Atletico Madrid23 August 2026
- D2-2away to Racing Santander16 August 2026
Deportivo La Coruna
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Valencia30 August 2026
- D1-1away to Malaga24 August 2026
- D1-1Elche17 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Villarreal | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna
- 12 May 2018Deportivo La Coruna 2–4 VillarrealLa Liga
- 7 January 2018Villarreal 1–1 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
- 14 May 2017Villarreal 0–0 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
- 14 January 2017Deportivo La Coruna 0–0 VillarrealLa Liga
- 8 May 2016Villarreal 0–2 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
Leading scorers: Villarreal and Deportivo La Coruna
Villarreal
No player in La Liga's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.
Deportivo La Coruna
GoalsAssists
- P. Aubameyang52
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Deportivo La Coruna won 3–2 at Villarreal. The model had leaned towards a win for Villarreal at 54% and given a win for Deportivo La Coruna 21%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: Nicolas Pépé 19' for Villarreal, Luismi Cruz 43' for Deportivo La Coruna, Adama Traoré (own goal) 76' for Villarreal, Zakaria Eddahchouri 79' for Deportivo La Coruna, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 88' for Deportivo La Coruna.
How the call on Villarreal v Deportivo La Coruna has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 57% / 24% / 19% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 54% / 25% / 21%: the biggest move is Villarreal's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- Villarreal win54%▼ −3
- Draw25%▲ +1
- Deportivo La Coruna win21%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.