5 September 2026, 19:00 UTC

Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna La Liga prediction & result

Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal
Full time2 – 3

Final score: Villarreal 2-3 Deportivo La Coruna.

Before kick-off the model made it 54% Villarreal, 25% draw, 21% Deportivo La Coruna — fair odds of 1.85, 4.00 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Villarreal at 54% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Nicolas Pépéassist: Ayoze Pérez
19'
43'
⚽Luismi Cruzassist: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
54'
🔁Riki Rodríguezout: Yeremay Hernández
🔁Ayoze Pérezout: Georges Mikautadze
62'
🔁Pape Gueyeout: Santi Comesaña
62'
🔁Alberto Moleiroout: Tajon Buchanan
62'
66'
🔁Mario Sorianoout: Marc Casadó
66'
🔁Bil Nsongoout: Adama Traoré
66'
🔁José María Giménezout: Miguel Loureiro
⚽Adama Traoré (OG)
76'
77'
🔁Luismi Cruzout: Zakaria Eddahchouri
🔁Gerard Morenoout: Tani Oluwaseyi
77'
79'
⚽Zakaria Eddahchouriassist: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
Santi Comesaña
81'
🔁Logan Costaout: Ilias Akhomach Chakkour
83'
Tajon Buchanan
87'
88'
⚽Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
90+1'
Lorenzo Amatucci
90+3'
Yeremay Hernández

Match stats — Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna

63%Possession37%
17Shots8
5On target3
7Corners1

Line-ups

Villarreal 4-4-2
  • 1Luíz JúniorG
  • 3A. FreemanD
  • 2Logan CostaD
  • 12Renato VeigaD
  • 23Sergi CardonaD
  • 19N. PépéM
  • 24N. SalibaM
  • 18P. GueyeM
  • 10Alberto MoleiroM
  • 7Gerard MorenoF
  • 22Ayoze PérezF
Substitutes
  • 11Ilias AkhomachF
  • 17T. BuchananF
  • 14Santi ComesañaM
  • 5A. DiattaM
  • 13Rubén GómezG
  • 25P. GulácsiG
  • 16C. MaciaM
  • 9G. MikautadzeF
  • 15S. MouriñoD
Coach: Iñigo Pérez
Deportivo La Coruna 4-4-2
  • 13Leo RománG
  • 23Ximo NavarroD
  • 4L. NoubiD
  • 20J. GiménezD
  • 12G. QuagliataD
  • 19Luismi CruzM
  • 21Mario SorianoM
  • 16L. AmatucciM
  • 14Riki RodríguezM
  • 32B. NsongoF
  • 7P. AubameyangF
Substitutes
  • 18Jonathan Asp JensenM
  • 6Marc CasadóM
  • 9Z. EddahchouriF
  • 22B. EdeD
  • 25Álvaro FernándezG
  • 34T. GijselhartM
  • 10PekeF
  • 15Miguel LoureiroD
  • 11David MellaF
Coach: Antonio Hidalgo

Form going into Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna

Villarreal

  • L0-1away to Alaves28 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Atletico Madrid23 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Racing Santander16 August 2026

Deportivo La Coruna

  • W3-1Valencia30 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Malaga24 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

La Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
19Villarreal5023710-32
7Deportivo La Coruna623197+29

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna

  • 5 September 2026Villarreal 2–3 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
  • 12 May 2018Deportivo La Coruna 2–4 VillarrealLa Liga
  • 7 January 2018Villarreal 1–1 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
  • 14 May 2017Villarreal 0–0 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
  • 14 January 2017Deportivo La Coruna 0–0 VillarrealLa Liga
  • 8 May 2016Villarreal 0–2 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga

Leading scorers: Villarreal and Deportivo La Coruna

Villarreal

No player in La Liga's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.

Deportivo La Coruna

  • P. Aubameyang5 goals2 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.