Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles Galaxy Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Real Salt Lake 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Real Salt Lake, 25% draw, 29% Los Angeles Galaxy — fair odds of 2.17, 4.00 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Real Salt Lake at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles Galaxy
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Rafael CabralG
- 44L. De FougerollesD
- 26P. QuintonD
- 3K. HenryD
- 23Chadwick Zachary BoothM
- 6S. SpieringsM
- 92N. CaliskanM
- 8J. SanabriaM
- 12S. LobzhanidzeF
- 22S. SolansF
- 9M. GuilavoguiF
- 4L. EngelD
- 15J. GladD
- 25Colin GuskeM
- 39A. HezarkhaniF
- 98A. KatránisD
- 34L. MoisaM
- 19A. PiolF
- 31M. StajduharG
- 2D. YedlinD
- 12J. MarcinkowskiG
- 26Harbor MillerD
- 25C. GarcésD
- 15J. HaakD
- 14J. NelsonD
- 17P. RuizM
- 6Sergi RobertoM
- 11H. LozanoM
- 18M. ReusM
- 28J. PaintsilM
- 99KlaussF
- 22E. WynderM
- 27E. ThommyM
- 21R. TaylorF
- 8L. SanabriaM
- 1N. MićovićG
- 2CalegariD
- 5J. GlesnesD
- 7K. FuruhashiF
- 3J. AudeD
Form going into Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles Galaxy
Real Salt Lake
Major League Soccer
- L1-2away to San Jose Earthquakes31 October 2026
- W2-1away to Austin29 October 2026
- W3-0St. Louis City25 October 2026
- W3-1away to Sporting Kansas City18 October 2026
Los Angeles Galaxy
Major League Soccer
- W4-1Austin31 October 2026
- D2-2away to Los Angeles FC26 October 2026
- D2-2San Diego18 October 2026
- W2-0Portland Timbers15 October 2026
What these results say
- Real Salt Lake scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Real Salt Lake had three goals or more.
- Real Salt Lake won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Los Angeles Galaxy went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Los Angeles Galaxy scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Los Angeles Galaxy conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 45 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 44 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles Galaxy
- 26 April 2026Los Angeles Galaxy 2–1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- 13 February 2026Los Angeles Galaxy 3–3 Real Salt LakeFriendlies Clubs
- 1 June 2025Los Angeles Galaxy 2–0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- 5 April 2025Real Salt Lake 2–0 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- 23 June 2024Real Salt Lake 0–1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- 12 May 2024Los Angeles Galaxy 2–2 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Real Salt Lake and Los Angeles Galaxy
Real Salt Lake
GoalsAssists
- S. Solans154
Los Angeles Galaxy
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 50 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Real Salt Lake beat Los Angeles Galaxy 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Real Salt Lake at 46%. The goals: Sergi Solans 10' for Real Salt Lake, Chadwick Zachary Booth 13' for Real Salt Lake, Luc De Fougerolles (own goal) 40' for Los Angeles Galaxy. On expected goals it finished 2.92–0.96.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Real Salt Lake a 53.8% chance to finish in the top nine: 96.5% after a win, 24.7% after a draw, 0.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 96.5%, 42.7 points higher than before the match.
For Los Angeles Galaxy the question was the chance to finish in the top nine, 61.4% going in: 100.0% after a win, 96.4% after a draw, 24.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 24.2%, 37.2 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Major League Soccer season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Real Salt Lake v Los Angeles Galaxy has moved
First published on 25 Oct at 48% / 25% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 46% / 25% / 29%: the biggest move is Real Salt Lake's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Real Salt Lake win46%▼ −2
- Draw25%=
- Los Angeles Galaxy win29%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.