8 November 2026, 00:00 UTC

Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer prediction & result

Lumen Field, Seattle
Referee: Filip Dujic
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Seattle Sounders 2-1 Los Angeles FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% Seattle Sounders, 29% draw, 35% Los Angeles FC — fair odds of 2.78, 3.45 and 2.86.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Seattle Sounders at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Seattle Sounders96%Draw4%Los Angeles FC0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Albert Rusnákassist: Cristian Roldán
1'
🔁Jordan Morrisout: Jesús Ferreira
24'
⚽Sebastian Gomezassist: Albert Rusnák
31'
🔁Sebastian Gomezout: Paul Arriola
66'
🔁Albert Rusnákout: Snyder Brunell
66'
72'
🔁Armindo Siebout: Jacob Shaffelburg
73'
Sergi Palencia
Jackson Ragen
76'
79'
🔁Jacob Shaffelburgout: Tyler Boyd
81'
⚽Eddie Seguraassist: Ryan Porteous
🔁Dejan Joveljićout: Paul Rothrock
87'
🔁Cristian Roldánout: Peter Kingston
87'
90'
🔁Mathieu Choinièreout: Jeremy Ebobisse
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
90'
Peter Kingston
90+3'

Match stats — Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC

39%Possession61%
5Shots24
2On target8
2Corners12
0.57xG1.9

Goals against chances

Seattle Sounders2 from 0.57 xGmore than the chances were worth
Los Angeles FC1 from 1.90 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1
  • 26A. ThomasG
  • 85K. Kossa-RienziD
  • 20Kim Kee-HeeD
  • 25J. RagenD
  • 5N. ToloD
  • 31H. DotsonM
  • 7C. RoldanM
  • 13J. MorrisM
  • 11A. RusnákM
  • 90S. GomezM
  • 9D. JoveljićF
Substitutes
  • 17P. ArriolaF
  • 37S. BrunellM
  • 8C. ClarkM
  • 27J. FerreiraF
  • 24S. FreiG
  • 39S. HawkinsD
  • 45P. KingstonM
  • 14P. RothrockF
  • 4R. SailorD
Coach: B. Schmetzer
Los Angeles FC 4-2-3-1
  • 31Cabral CarterG
  • 14Sergi PalenciaD
  • 5R. PorteousD
  • 4E. SeguraD
  • 23Y. CheberkoD
  • 66M. ChoinièreM
  • 8M. DelgadoM
  • 9A. SiebM
  • 81L. WaltaM
  • 99D. BouangaM
  • 7Son Heung-MinF
Substitutes
  • 19T. BoydF
  • 17J. EbobisseF
  • 12T. HasalG
  • 24R. HollingsheadD
  • 6Igor JesusM
  • 45Kenny NielsenD
  • 91N. TafariD
  • 18J. ShaffelburgF
  • 20S. VasquezM
Coach: Xavi Tamarit

Form going into Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC

Seattle Sounders

Major League Soccer

  • L1-5away to Vancouver Whitecaps1 November 2026
  • L0-1Houston Dynamo29 October 2026
  • D2-2away to San Diego25 October 2026
  • D1-1CF Montreal18 October 2026

Los Angeles FC

Major League Soccer

  • L1-3Minnesota United FC2 November 2026
  • D2-2Los Angeles Galaxy26 October 2026
  • D1-1away to New York City FC17 October 2026
  • W3-1Austin15 October 2026

What these results say

  • Seattle Sounders did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Seattle Sounders conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Seattle Sounders scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Los Angeles FC scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Los Angeles FC conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Both sides scored in every one of these 4 matches for Los Angeles FC.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Seattle Sounders341210124446-246
6Los Angeles FC341211115240+1247

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC

  • 25 May 2026Los Angeles FC 1–0 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
  • 15 May 2025Los Angeles FC 4–0 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
  • 8 March 2025Seattle Sounders 5–2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
  • 24 November 2024Los Angeles FC 1–2 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
  • 29 August 2024Seattle Sounders 0–1 Los Angeles FCUS Open Cup
  • 18 August 2024Seattle Sounders 0–3 Los Angeles FCLeagues Cup

Leading scorers: Seattle Sounders and Los Angeles FC

Seattle Sounders

No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 44 league goals as a side.

Los Angeles FC

GoalsAssists

  • D. Bouanga185

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Seattle Sounders beat Los Angeles FC 2–1. The model had made a win for Seattle Sounders its most likely outcome, at 36%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Albert Rusnák 1' for Seattle Sounders, Sebastian Gomez 31' for Seattle Sounders, Eddie Segura 81' for Los Angeles FC. On expected goals it finished 0.57–1.90.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Seattle Sounders a 48.6% chance to finish in the top nine: 97.4% after a win, 47.0% after a draw, 1.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 97.4%, 48.8 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Major League Soccer season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.