30 August 2026, 12:00 UTC

Rodina Moskva vs Baltika Premier League prediction & result

Arena Khimki, Khimki
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Rodina Moskva 0-3 Baltika.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Rodina Moskva, 24% draw, 43% Baltika — fair odds of 3.03, 4.17 and 2.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Baltika at 43% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Rodina Moskva vs Baltika

Rodina Moskva

  • L1-3away to Dynamo23 August 2026

Baltika

  • D1-1Rubin24 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Rodina Moskva91261022-125
8Baltika93241412+211

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Rodina Moskva vs Baltika

  • 23 November 2024Baltika 2–1 Rodina MoskvaFirst League
  • 14 July 2024Rodina Moskva 0–0 BaltikaFirst League
  • 7 April 2023Baltika 0–0 Rodina MoskvaFirst League
  • 18 September 2022Rodina Moskva 1–2 BaltikaFirst League
  • 10 July 2020Baltika 1–2 Rodina MoskvaFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Rodina Moskva and Baltika

Rodina Moskva

  • A. Maksimenko3 goals1 assists
  • Iker Pozo2 goals1 assists

Baltika

  • B. Gil3 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.