30 August 2026, 12:00 UTC

Rodina Moskva vs Baltika Premier League prediction & result

Arena Khimki, Khimki
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Rodina Moskva 0-3 Baltika.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Rodina Moskva, 24% draw, 43% Baltika — fair odds of 3.03, 4.17 and 2.33.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Baltika at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Rodina Moskva0%Draw1%Baltika99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

22'
⚽A. Mourid
26'
Aymane Mourid
30'
Mingiyan Beveev
44'
Andrey Mendel
🔁A. Sokolout: S. Bakaev
46'
46'
🔁B. Gilout: C. Offor
54'
🔁A. Mouridout: M. Petrov
54'
🔁A. Mendelout: I. Belikov
Iker Pozo
57'
🔁R. Fishchenkoout: K. Ushatov
71'
72'
Maksim Petrov
72'
🔁V. Pospelovout: F. Moufi
Yordy Reyna
73'
75'
⚽C. Offorassist: M. Petrov
77'
Nikolay Titkov
Artem Meshchaninov
78'
🔁A. Maksimenkoout: I. Timoshenko
78'
🔁I. Pozoout: A. Gharibyan
78'
🔁M. Nadeout: M. Krizan
84'
86'
⚽M. Petrovassist: N. Titkov
88'
🔁N. Titkovout: K. Shiltsov

Match stats — Rodina Moskva vs Baltika

69%Possession31%
8Shots16
2On target9
2Corners5

Line-ups

Rodina Moskva 4-2-3-1
  • 13S. VolkovG
  • 88A. SokolD
  • 26A. MeshchaninovD
  • 75M. NadeD
  • 3L. GoglichidzeD
  • 8I. PozoM
  • 6R. FishchenkoM
  • 80S. BessmertniyM
  • 10Y. ReynaM
  • 9A. MaksimenkoM
  • 7G. OnugkhaF
Substitutes
  • 1S. AydarovG
  • 55M. KrizanD
  • 19D. TananeevD
  • 49I. DyatlovD
  • 72A. GordyushenkoM
  • 38L. MusaevM
  • 5A. EgorychevM
  • 23K. UshatovM
  • 17S. BakaevM
Coach: Juan Diaz
Baltika 5-4-1
  • 1E. LatyshonokG
  • 22M. BeveevD
  • 2S. VaratynovD
  • 24L. MouyokoloD
  • 21E. AndersonD
  • 4N. GassamaD
  • 42V. PospelovM
  • 5A. MouridM
  • 8A. MendelM
  • 11N. TitkovM
  • 91B. GilF
Substitutes
  • 81I. KukushkinG
  • 44E. LyubakovG
  • 18F. MoufiD
  • 3I. KirschD
  • 68M. RyadnoD
  • 14S. KovacM
  • 7K. ShiltsovM
  • 73M. PetrovM
  • 10I. PetrovM
Coach: Andrey Talalaev

Form going into Rodina Moskva vs Baltika

Rodina Moskva

All competitions we cover

  • L1-3away to Dynamo23 August 2026
  • D3-3Akron15 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Zenit9 August 2026

Baltika

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Rubin24 August 2026
  • L1-2Spartak Moscow16 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Krylia Sovetov8 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Russia Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Rodina Moskva143381529-1412
9Baltika144551715+217

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Rodina Moskva vs Baltika

  • 23 November 2024Baltika 2–1 Rodina MoskvaFirst League
  • 14 July 2024Rodina Moskva 0–0 BaltikaFirst League
  • 7 April 2023Baltika 0–0 Rodina MoskvaFirst League
  • 18 September 2022Rodina Moskva 1–2 BaltikaFirst League
  • 10 July 2020Baltika 1–2 Rodina MoskvaFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Rodina Moskva and Baltika

Rodina Moskva

GoalsAssists

  • A. Maksimenko31

Baltika

GoalsAssists

  • B. Gil51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Baltika won 3–0 at Rodina Moskva. The model had made a win for Baltika its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: A. Mourid 22' for Baltika, C. Offor 75' for Baltika, M. Petrov 86' for Baltika.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.