30 August 2026, 15:30 UTC

Manchester United vs Ipswich Premier League prediction & result

Old Trafford, Manchester

Full time5 – 2

Final score: Manchester United 5-2 Ipswich.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Manchester United, 27% draw, 30% Ipswich — fair odds of 2.33, 3.70 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published 29 August 2026 · updated 17 September 2026

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Manchester United at 43% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

29'

⚽L. Davisassist: I. Fatawu

33'

Saša Lukić

37'

Abdul Fatawu Issahaku

⚽B. Fernandesassist: M. Cunha

40'

46'

🔁Emersonnout: C. Akpom

⚽J. Greaves (OG)

56'

60'

Jacob Greaves

⚽B. Fernandes (pen)

61'

62'

🔁M. Nunezout: E. Palacios

⚽B. Fernandes

68'

🔁L. Shawout: N. Mazraoui

73'

🔁D. Maedaout: D. Furlong

73'

🔁S. Lukicout: A. Ouattara

🔁D. Dalotout: L. Yoro

74'

🔁M. Rashfordout: P. Dorgu

80'

🔁K. Mainooout: Andrey Santos

80'

🔁M. Cunhaout: B. Sesko

80'

⚽B. Mbeumoassist: B. Fernandes

82'

83'

🔁I. Fatawuout: K. McAteer

Bryan Mbeumo

90+3'

90'

⚽C. Akpomassist: J. Enciso

Match stats — Manchester United vs Ipswich

60%Possession40%

33Shots9

12On target5

8Corners4

4.57xG2.01

Goals against chances

Manchester United5 from 4.57 xGabout what the chances were worth

Ipswich2 from 2.01 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Manchester United 4-2-3-1

1Senne LammensG
2Diogo DalotD
5Harry MaguireD
6Lisandro MartínezD
23Luke ShawD
18Youri TielemansM
37Kobbie MainooM
19Bryan MbeumoM
8Bruno FernandesM
9Marcus RashfordM
10Matheus CunhaF

Substitutes

3Noussair MazraouiD
15Leny YoroD
13Patrick DorguD
17Andrey SantosM
30Benjamin ŠeškoF
12Karl DarlowG
26Ayden HeavenD
31Shea LaceyF
11Joshua ZirkzeeF

Coach: Michael Carrick

Ipswich 4-2-3-1

37Kjell ScherpenG
26Dara O'SheaD
6Issa DiopD
24Jacob GreavesD
3Leif DavisD
23Saša LukićM
32Marcelino NúñezM
7Abdul Fatawu IssahakuM
10Julio EncisoM
38Daizen MaedaM
19EmersonnF

Substitutes

29Chuba AkpomF
25Exequiel PalaciosM
2Darnell FurlongD
42Abdoul OuattaraD
20Kasey McAteerM
28Christian WaltonG
4Cédric KipréD
8Sindre Walle EgeliF
47Jack ClarkeF

Coach: Gary O'Neil

Form going into Manchester United vs Ipswich