30 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Rubin vs Dinamo Makhachkala Premier League prediction & result

Ak Bars Arena, Kazan
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Rubin 3-1 Dinamo Makhachkala.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% Rubin, 27% draw, 39% Dinamo Makhachkala — fair odds of 2.94, 3.70 and 2.56.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Dinamo Makhachkala at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Rubin95%Draw5%Dinamo Makhachkala0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

35'
Andrés Alarcón
🔁D. Kuznetsovout: A. Arroyo
46'
🔁N. Gripshiout: R. Bezrukov
46'
46'
🔁E. Smelovout: D. Lesovoy
Veldin Hodža
60'
61'
🔁G. Agalarovout: Miro
⚽I. Rozhkovassist: I. Saavedra
62'
66'
Ilyas Akhmedov
70'
•Houssem Eddine Mrezigue
73'
🔁M. Azziout: A. Sandrachuk
73'
🔁I. Akhmedovout: K. Zinovich
73'
🔁M. Apshatsevout: D. Aleksandrov
73'
⚽Miro (pen)
Ignacio Saavedra
75'
🔁I. Saavedraout: I. Samoshnikov
79'
Anderson Arroyo
80'
80'
Miro
⚽A. Jukicassist: A. Arroyo
87'
Aleksandar Jukić
88'
🔁A. Jukicout: B. Jocic
89'
🔁J. Siweout: D. N. Motorin
90+3'
⚽B. Jocicassist: I. Samoshnikov
90'

Match stats — Rubin vs Dinamo Makhachkala

55%Possession45%
8Shots12
5On target3
2Corners5

Line-ups

Rubin 5-3-2
  • 38E. StaverG
  • 44D. KuznetsovD
  • 98N. LobovD
  • 3D. MaldonadoD
  • 13J. UrozovD
  • 51I. RozhkovD
  • 22V. HodzaM
  • 14I. SaavedraM
  • 77A. JukicM
  • 43J. SiweF
  • 11N. GripshiF
Substitutes
  • 25A. NigmatullinG
  • 86N. KoretsG
  • 70D. KabutovD
  • 27A. GritsaenkoD
  • 12A. ArroyoD
  • 2E. TeslenkoD
  • 18M. IgnatievD
  • 71I. SamoshnikovD
  • 4K. NizhegorodovD
Coach: Franc Artiga
Dinamo Makhachkala 5-3-2
  • 39T. MagomedovG
  • 22M. AzziD
  • 43I. AkhmedovD
  • 99M. AlibekovD
  • 24A. AlarconD
  • 77T. SundukovD
  • 47N. GlushkovM
  • 6M. ApshatsevM
  • 52E. SmelovM
  • 16H. MrezigueF
  • 25G. AgalarovF
Substitutes
  • 1D. VolkG
  • 13S. KagermazovD
  • 72A. SandrachukD
  • 21A. DzhabrailovM
  • 9R. MagomedovM
  • 19K. ZinovichM
  • 11MiroF
  • 88D. LesovoyM
  • 30D. Aleksandrov
Coach: Vadim Evseev

Form going into Rubin vs Dinamo Makhachkala

Rubin

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Baltika24 August 2026
  • D1-1away to FC Rostov15 August 2026
  • D1-1FC Orenburg9 August 2026

Dinamo Makhachkala

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1FC Krasnodar23 August 2026
  • W4-1away to Krylia Sovetov16 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Dynamo9 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Russia Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Rubin144641418-418
11Dinamo Makhachkala145181726-916

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Rubin vs Dinamo Makhachkala

  • 28 February 2026Dinamo Makhachkala 2–1 RubinPremier League
  • 12 September 2025Rubin 1–0 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
  • 7 December 2024Dinamo Makhachkala 2–3 RubinPremier League
  • 23 August 2024Rubin 2–0 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
  • 27 May 2023Rubin 2–0 Dinamo MakhachkalaFirst League
  • 6 November 2022Dinamo Makhachkala 0–1 RubinFirst League

Leading scorers: Rubin and Dinamo Makhachkala

Rubin

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.

Dinamo Makhachkala

GoalsAssists

  • G. Agalarov50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Rubin beat Dinamo Makhachkala 3–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Dinamo Makhachkala at 39% and given a win for Rubin 34%. The goals: I. Rozhkov 62' for Rubin, Miro (penalty) 73' for Dinamo Makhachkala, A. Jukic 87' for Rubin, B. Jocic 90' for Rubin.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.