30 August 2026, 13:00 UTC

Sunderland vs Fulham Premier League prediction & result

Stadium of Light, Sunderland
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Sunderland 1-0 Fulham.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Sunderland, 30% draw, 30% Fulham — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Sunderland at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sunderland97%Draw3%Fulham0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

35'
J. Andersen
59'
C. Palacios
🔁B. Brobbeyout: W. Isidor
64'
🔁N. Anguloout: H. Diarra
65'
68'
🔁T. Castagneout: R. Sessegnon
68'
🔁O. Bobbout: S. Charles
⚽W. Isidorassist: H. Diarra
75'
76'
🔁C. Palaciosout: E. Smith Rowe
🔁out: C. Rigg
83'
83'
🔁S. Bergeout: Kevin
🔁E. Le Feeout: R. Mundle
90'

Match stats — Sunderland vs Fulham

42%Possession58%
12Shots9
4On target0
3Corners4
1.75xG0.79

Goals against chances

Sunderland1 from 1.75 xGless than the chances were worth
Fulham0 from 0.79 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Sunderland 4-2-3-1
  • 22Robin RoefsG
  • 12Thomas MeunierD
  • 20Nordi MukieleD
  • 5Daniel BallardD
  • 17Reinildo MandavaD
  • 34Granit XhakaM
  • 27Noah SadikiM
  • 32Trai HumeM
  • 28Enzo Le FéeM
  • 10Nilson AnguloM
  • 9Brian BrobbeyF
Substitutes
  • 18Wilson IsidorF
  • 19Habib DiarraM
  • 11Chris RiggM
  • 14Romaine MundleF
  • 31Melker EllborgG
  • 13Luke O'NienM
  • 15Omar AldereteD
  • 7Chemsdine TalbiF
  • 29Jules AhokaM
Coach: Regis Le Bris
Fulham 4-2-3-1
  • 1Bernd LenoG
  • 21Timothy CastagneD
  • 5Joachim AndersenD
  • 3Calvin BasseyD
  • 33Antonee RobinsonD
  • 16Sander BergeM
  • 17Alex IwobiM
  • 14Oscar BobbM
  • 24Joshua KingM
  • 8César PalaciosM
  • 7Gonzalo GarcíaF
Substitutes
  • 30Ryan SessegnonM
  • 19Shea CharlesM
  • 32Emile Smith RoweM
  • 11KevinF
  • 23Benjamin LecomteG
  • 4Jorge CuencaD
  • 6Harrison ReedM
  • 9Rodrigo MunizF
  • 35Macauley ZepaF
Coach: Alvaro Arbeloa

Form going into Sunderland vs Fulham

Sunderland

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Ipswich22 August 2026

Fulham

All competitions we cover

  • L2-3Chelsea24 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
19Sunderland10226817-98
15Fulham102441012-210

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sunderland vs Fulham

  • 22 February 2026Sunderland 1–3 FulhamPremier League
  • 22 November 2025Fulham 1–0 SunderlandPremier League
  • 8 February 2023Sunderland 2–3 FulhamFA Cup
  • 28 January 2023Fulham 1–1 SunderlandFA Cup
  • 27 April 2018Fulham 2–1 SunderlandChampionship

The full Sunderland vs Fulham record →

The result against the call

Sunderland beat Fulham 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Sunderland at 40%. The goal: W. Isidor 75' for Sunderland. On expected goals it finished 1.75–0.79.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.