8 August 2026, 16:30 UTC

Rudes vs NK Osijek HNL prediction & result

SC Rudes, Zagreb
Full time1 – 6

Final score: Rudes 1-6 NK Osijek.

Before kick-off the model made it 12% Rudes, 18% draw, 70% NK Osijek — fair odds of 8.33, 5.56 and 1.43. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts NK Osijek at 70% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Rudes0%Draw1%NK Osijek99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

12'
⚽A. Leonassist: L. Vrbancic
28'
⚽A. Leonassist: R. Jurisic
41'
⚽N. Omerovic
44'
⚽N. Omerovic
45+2'
Domagoj Bukvić
🔁D. Zivulicout: S. Vukic
46'
🔁A. Susakout: L. Ilecic
46'
🔁V. Seitzout: N. Skoko
46'
57'
🔁J. Jezicout: S. Mikolcic
57'
🔁L. Jelenicout: E. Hasic
65'
🔁R. Jurisicout: M. Heister
65'
🔁I. Dolcekout: A. Jakupovic
🔁J. Poldrugacout: J. Pejic
68'
69'
⚽A. Jakupovicassist: D. Bukvic
74'
🔁A. Leonout: N. Farkas
81'
⚽N. Omerovicassist: D. Bukvic
83'
Emin Hasić
🔁M. Stolnikout: T. Kolega
83'
⚽L. Ilecicassist: J. Pejic
84'

Match stats — Rudes vs NK Osijek

49%Possession51%
9Shots20
2On target10
4Corners4
0.6xG2.69

Goals against chances

Rudes1 from 0.60 xGabout what the chances were worth
NK Osijek6 from 2.69 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Rudes 4-2-3-1
  • 95L. RogicG
  • 14B. Unusic
  • 4V. CeljakD
  • 5M. StolnikD
  • 27Felipe CurcioD
  • 24I. DjoricM
  • 92D. ZivulicM
  • 20J. BlagaicM
  • 10V. SeitzM
  • 21A. SusakM
  • 11J. PoldrugacF
Substitutes
  • 1F. HoljevacG
  • 32S. DuvnjakG
  • 2T. KolegaF
  • 9S. VukicF
  • 7L. IlecicF
  • 15N. SkokoM
  • 3N. PeranovicD
  • 28XaviM
  • 17J. PejicF
Coach: Alen Peternac
NK Osijek 4-1-4-1
  • 31M. MalenicaG
  • 77S. MustaficD
  • 49I. KolarikD
  • 26L. JelenicD
  • 22R. JurisicD
  • 23L. VrbancicM
  • 7I. DolcekM
  • 39D. BukvicM
  • 48J. JezicM
  • 11N. OmerovicM
  • 79A. LeonF
Substitutes
  • 1N. CurcijaG
  • 2M. HeisterD
  • 17A. JakupovicF
  • 5J. MersinajD
  • 8S. MikolcicM
  • 67B. BaktiM
  • 16O. PetrusenkoM
  • 33E. HasicD
  • 30A. LjatifiF
Coach: Federico Bessone Luna

Form going into Rudes vs NK Osijek

Rudes

  • L1-2away to HNK Rijeka2 August 2026

NK Osijek

  • W2-0away to HNK Gorica1 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

HNL table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Rudes7106822-143
2NK Osijek75021711+615

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Rudes vs NK Osijek

  • 8 August 2026Rudes 1–6 NK OsijekHNL
  • 5 April 2024Rudes 2–3 NK OsijekHNL
  • 27 January 2024NK Osijek 2–0 RudesHNL
  • 7 October 2023NK Osijek 3–0 RudesHNL
  • 30 July 2023Rudes 3–4 NK OsijekHNL
  • 26 October 2021Rudes 0–2 NK OsijekCup

Leading scorers: Rudes and NK Osijek

Rudes

  • L. Ilečić2 goals2 assists

NK Osijek

  • A. León5 goals1 assists
  • N. Omerović5 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.