1 November 2026, 14:30 UTC

Ružomberok vs Skalica Super Liga prediction & result

Štadión pod Čebraťom, Ruzomberok
Referee: I. Valent
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Ružomberok 1-0 Skalica.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Ružomberok, 29% draw, 32% Skalica — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Ružomberok at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ružomberok98%Draw2%Skalica0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

D. Grgic
18'
20'
P. Onyedika
32'
S. Macek
⚽A. Selecky (pen)
45+2'
P. Jevos
53'
🔁P. Jevosout: F. Soucek
55'
69'
D. Baris
72'
🔁M. Cernekout: F. Twardzik
72'
🔁P. Pudhorockyout: M. Masik
77'
P. Onyedika
77'
P. Onyedika
84'
🔁L. Simkoout: A. Abdullahi
84'
🔁D. Barisout: R. Potocny
🔁M. Bacikout: S. Gerec
89'
🔁D. Grgicout: A. Tucny
90+1'

Match stats — Ružomberok vs Skalica

45%Possession55%
17Shots4
6On target1
6Corners5
2.35xG0.19

Goals against chances

Ružomberok1 from 2.35 xGless than the chances were worth
Skalica0 from 0.19 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Ružomberok 4-4-2
  • 34D. HuskaG
  • 31D. KostkaD
  • 16D. KostlD
  • 2A. MojzisD
  • 28A. SeleckyD
  • 24P. Jevos
  • 4O. LuteranM
  • 11S. LavrincikM
  • 15M. BacikM
  • 25D. GrgicF
  • 19V. HranosF
Substitutes
  • 1I. KrajcirikG
  • 5T. MarusinD
  • 10F. SoucekD
  • 20M. ChobotM
  • 29S. GerecF
  • 30M. BodaF
  • 9M. KoubekF
  • 17A. TucnyM
  • 26M. KelemenF
Coach: Jaroslav Kostl
Skalica 4-2-3-1
  • 39M. JunasG
  • 13S. SulaD
  • 6P. KarhanD
  • 20O. PodhorinD
  • 3M. CernekD
  • 27D. BarisM
  • 9A. MorongM
  • 23E. DanielM
  • 17P. PudhorockyM
  • 8L. SimkoM
  • 7P. OnyedikaF
Substitutes
  • 1R. LudhaG
  • 31F. TwardzikD
  • 5M. RyzekD
  • 21A. Ravas
  • 19M. MasikM
  • 11A. KrizanM
  • 91R. PotocnyF
  • 34E. EsheleF
  • 30A. AbdullahiM
Coach: Stanislav Macek

Form going into Ružomberok vs Skalica

Ružomberok

Super Liga

  • L0-5away to Dunajska Streda24 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Komárno17 October 2026
  • D2-2Žilina11 October 2026

Skalica

Super Liga

  • D1-1Spartak Trnava24 October 2026
  • L0-2AS Trencin17 October 2026
  • D1-1Slovan Bratislava10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Slovakia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Ružomberok143381329-1612
11Skalica142481528-1310

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Ružomberok vs Skalica

  • 1 August 2026Skalica 2–1 RužomberokSuper Liga
  • 16 May 2026Skalica 1–0 RužomberokSuper Liga
  • 11 April 2026Ružomberok 0–0 SkalicaSuper Liga
  • 1 November 2025Skalica 0–0 RužomberokSuper Liga
  • 12 August 2025Ružomberok 1–3 SkalicaSuper Liga
  • 19 April 2025Skalica 1–0 RužomberokSuper Liga

Leading scorers: Ružomberok and Skalica

Ružomberok

No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.

Skalica

GoalsAssists

  • Philip Onyedika31

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Ružomberok beat Skalica 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Ružomberok at 39%. The goal: A. Selecky (penalty) 45+2' for Ružomberok. Sent off: P. Onyedika (Skalica) 77'. On expected goals it finished 2.35–0.19.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Ružomberok a 69.8% chance to finish in the bottom three: 57.0% after a win, 75.3% after a draw, 83.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 57.0%, 12.8 points lower than before the match.

For Skalica the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 51.5% going in: 33.7% after a win, 50.7% after a draw, 64.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 64.7%, 13.2 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Ružomberok v Skalica has moved

First published on 18 Oct at 43% / 29% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 39% / 29% / 32%: the biggest move is Ružomberok's chance of winning, down 4 points.

  1. Ružomberok win39%▼ −4
  2. Draw29%=
  3. Skalica win32%▲ +4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.