1 November 2026, 13:00 UTC

IMT Novi Beograd vs Cukaricki Super Liga prediction & result

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Final score: IMT Novi Beograd 0-0 Cukaricki.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% IMT Novi Beograd, 29% draw, 27% Cukaricki — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

IMT Novi Beograd at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

IMT Novi Beograd4%Draw93%Cukaricki3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

27'
Sambou Sissoko
Iván Martos
45'
🔁Djordje Radivojevicout: Tadija Cojic
60'
🔁François Kamanoout: Vladimir Radocaj
60'
71'
🔁Uroš Nikolićout: karel mustmaa
🔁nikola glisicout: Karl Kezy Fabien
77'
81'
🔁Đorđe Jovanovićout: Nemanja Radonjić
81'
🔁Lazar Markovićout: Fiorin Durmishaj
86'
🔁Andrej bajovicout: Aires Tino Nanque
86'
🔁Uros·Miladinovicout: Mateja Prokopijevic
🔁Charly Keitaout: Daniel Aghahowa
90+1'

Match stats — IMT Novi Beograd vs Cukaricki

56%Possession44%
10Shots13
0On target1
5Corners3
0.85xG1.04

Goals against chances

IMT Novi Beograd0 from 0.85 xGless than the chances were worth
Cukaricki0 from 1.04 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

IMT Novi Beograd 4-1-4-1
  • 1O. ČančarevićG
  • 45Ismael CasasD
  • 5M. SissakoD
  • 3Iván MartosD
  • 2Julián DelmásD
  • 22Vasilije NovicicM
  • 20D. RadivojevicM
  • 18W. TiendrébéogoM
  • 40F. KamanoM
  • 7N. GlišićM
  • 99C. KeitaF
Substitutes
  • 65S. ŠapićD
  • 29K. FabienF
  • 19T. CojicM
  • 23D. AkrofiM
  • 37Daniel AghahowaF
  • 24Luka GuticD
  • 14I. KebeM
  • 9A. MiticF
  • 21Matej PribišićG
Coach: Z. Popović
Cukaricki 4-2-3-1
  • 81V. ČarapićG
  • 24N. StankovićD
  • 23I. MaigaD
  • 26M. ĐokovićD
  • 3Z. ŠehovićD
  • 14S. SissokoM
  • 77A. BajovićM
  • 8L. MarkovićM
  • 72U. NikolićM
  • 10U. MiladinovićM
  • 99Đ. JovanovićF
Substitutes
  • 25F. DurmishajF
  • 73N. MiletićD
  • 18Karel MustmaaF
  • 27A. NanqueF
  • 1Đ. NikolićG
  • 50M. PavkovF
  • 87Mateja ProkopijevićM
  • 28N. RadonjićM
  • 51Remy Rees-DottinF
Coach: M. Trajković

Form going into IMT Novi Beograd vs Cukaricki

IMT Novi Beograd

Super Liga

  • L0-1Železničar Pančevo23 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Novi Pazar18 October 2026
  • W1-0Radnik Surdulica10 October 2026

Cukaricki

Super Liga

  • W2-0away to FK Partizan24 October 2026
  • W3-0Zemun17 October 2026
  • D2-2Macva10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serbia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4IMT Novi Beograd156541610+623
7Cukaricki156452121022

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: IMT Novi Beograd vs Cukaricki

  • 19 July 2026Cukaricki 0–1 IMT Novi BeogradSuper Liga
  • 28 November 2025Cukaricki 1–1 IMT Novi BeogradSuper Liga
  • 27 July 2025IMT Novi Beograd 1–3 CukarickiSuper Liga
  • 12 May 2025Cukaricki 1–1 IMT Novi BeogradSuper Liga
  • 7 April 2025Cukaricki 0–2 IMT Novi BeogradSuper Liga
  • 9 November 2024IMT Novi Beograd 1–1 CukarickiSuper Liga

Leading scorers: IMT Novi Beograd and Cukaricki

IMT Novi Beograd

GoalsAssists

  • C. Keita32

Cukaricki

GoalsAssists

  • U. Miladinović63

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

IMT Novi Beograd and Cukaricki drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for IMT Novi Beograd at 44% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.85–1.04.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave IMT Novi Beograd a 81.6% chance to finish in the top six: 88.6% after a win, 79.2% after a draw, 71.7% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 79.2%, 2.4 points lower than before the match.

For Cukaricki the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 38.2% going in: 50.8% after a win, 38.1% after a draw, 31.1% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 38.1%.

Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on IMT Novi Beograd v Cukaricki has moved

First published on 18 Oct at 48% / 28% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 44% / 29% / 27%: the biggest move is IMT Novi Beograd's chance of winning, down 4 points.

  1. IMT Novi Beograd win44%▼ −4
  2. Draw29%▲ +1
  3. Cukaricki win27%▲ +3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.