7 September 2026, 18:30 UTC

Sabadell vs Cordoba Segunda División prediction & result

Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta, Sabadell
Full time3 2

Final score: Sabadell 3-2 Cordoba.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Sabadell, 29% draw, 29% Cordoba — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Sabadell at 42% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sabadell97%Draw3%Cordoba0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Nicholas Gioacchiniassist: Quadri Liameed
7'
Nicholas Gioacchiniassist: Albert Orriols Cerarols
11'
Nicholas Gioacchini
12'
Edgar Gonzalez
21'
26'
Cristian Carracedo (pen)
45'
🔁Rubén González Alvesout: Juan Gutiérrez
45'
🔁Eder Garciaout: Enol Rodríguez Heres
Albert Orriols Cerarols
52'
🔁José Luis Catalàout: Ángel Baena
54'
54'
Álex Martín
66'
🔁Youssouf Diarraout: Adnane Ghailan Benktib
66'
🔁Daniel Budescaout: Carlos Albarran
🔁Nicholas Gioacchiniout: Yanis Rahmani
72'
🔁Joel Priegoout: Nikolay Obolskiy
72'
74'
🔁Diego Briout: ibai sanz
76'
Enol Rodríguez Heresassist: Diego Percan
82'
Adnane Ghailan Benktib
🔁Ton Ripollout: Pipa
82'
🔁Pere Ponsout: Eneko Aguilar
82'
Edgar Gonzalez
85'
Óscar Sanz
87'
88'
Cristian Carracedo
Albert Orriols Cerarols (pen)
89'

Match stats — Sabadell vs Cordoba

41%Possession59%
20Shots15
10On target4
3Corners5

Line-ups

Sabadell 3-4-1-2
  • 1Diego FuoliG
  • 14Óscar SanzD
  • 6Edgar GonzálezD
  • 27José Luis CatalàD
  • 7Ton RipollM
  • 22Q. LiameedM
  • 8Pere PonsM
  • 4Miki CodinaM
  • 20UrriM
  • 23Joel PriegoF
  • 16N. GioacchiniF
Substitutes
  • 15Kaiser LázaroD
  • 10Ángel BaenaM
  • 11Javi LópezM
  • 30Xavier Moreno HernándezF
  • 9N. ObolskiyF
  • 13J. OrtegaG
  • 19Y. RahmaniF
  • 21Alain RibeiroM
  • 12Gastón VallesF
Coach: Ferran Costa
Cordoba 4-3-3
  • 13Guilherme FernandesG
  • 30Daniel BudescaD
  • 4Álex MartínD
  • 16Rubén AlvesD
  • 3Dani TasendeD
  • 28Eder GarcíaM
  • 8Isma RuizM
  • 22Y. DiarraM
  • 23Cristian CarracedoF
  • 9PercanF
  • 11Diego BriF
Substitutes
  • 5Juan GutiérrezD
  • 21Carlos AlbarránD
  • 6D. CaceresM
  • 14Adnane GhailanF
  • 20Nélson MonteD
  • 27Egoitz MuñozD
  • 18Enol RodríguezF
  • 19Ibai SanzF
  • 10Kevin VillodresF
Coach: Iván Ania

Form going into Sabadell vs Cordoba

Sabadell

  • W1-0Almeria29 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Castellón23 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Sporting Gijon17 August 2026

Cordoba

  • L1-3Granada CF30 August 2026
  • W2-1Girona21 August 2026
  • L2-3away to Burgos16 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Sabadell52214408
20Cordoba5104712-53

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sabadell vs Cordoba

  • 7 September 2026Sabadell 3–2 CordobaSegunda División

Leading scorers: Sabadell and Cordoba

Sabadell

  • N. Gioacchini3 goals

Cordoba

No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.