Oviedo vs Burgos Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Oviedo 0-0 Burgos.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Oviedo, 27% draw, 23% Burgos — fair odds of 2.00, 3.70 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Oviedo at 50% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Oviedo vs Burgos
Oviedo
- W1-0away to Albacete29 August 2026
- L0-1Leganes22 August 2026
- D0-0Granada CF15 August 2026
Burgos
- D2-2Real Sociedad II31 August 2026
- L0-1away to Sporting Gijon23 August 2026
- W3-2Cordoba16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Oviedo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 | Burgos | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Oviedo vs Burgos
- 22 February 2025Burgos 1–2 OviedoSegunda División
- 3 November 2024Oviedo 3–1 BurgosSegunda División
- 17 February 2024Oviedo 5–0 BurgosSegunda División
- 26 August 2023Burgos 1–0 OviedoSegunda División
- 12 February 2023Oviedo 0–1 BurgosSegunda División
- 10 September 2022Burgos 0–0 OviedoSegunda División
Leading scorers: Oviedo and Burgos
Oviedo
- Pablo Sáenz2 goals
Burgos
- Álex Forés2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.