Almeria vs Cadiz Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Almeria 3-2 Cadiz.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Almeria, 27% draw, 30% Cadiz — fair odds of 2.33, 3.70 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Almeria at 43% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Almeria vs Cadiz
Almeria
- L0-1away to Sabadell29 August 2026
- L0-1away to Tenerife23 August 2026
- W3-0Eldense17 August 2026
Cadiz
- D1-1Valladolid30 August 2026
- D2-2away to Eldense22 August 2026
- D0-0Celta de Vigo II15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Almeria | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 19 | Cadiz | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Almeria vs Cadiz
- 8 February 2026Cadiz 1–2 AlmeriaSegunda División
- 16 November 2025Almeria 3–0 CadizSegunda División
- 9 May 2025Cadiz 2–1 AlmeriaSegunda División
- 22 December 2024Almeria 1–1 CadizSegunda División
- 25 May 2024Almeria 6–1 CadizLa Liga
- 26 August 2023Cadiz 1–1 AlmeriaLa Liga
Leading scorers: Almeria and Cadiz
Almeria
- B. Cipenga1 goals3 assists
- Léo Baptistão1 goals1 assists
Cadiz
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.